Super Bowl LX Trends, Notes & Insights

Written by: Varun Sharma
Last Update: Sun Feb 08, 2026, 1:24 pm ET
Read Time: 9 minutes

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We're officially less than a week away from the biggest game of the year and I couldn't be more excited for Super Bowl 60. The Seattle Seahawks will take on the New England Patriots in one of the most unlikely Super Bowl matchups of the last decade.
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General Trends for Super Bowl 60

In both the Divisional Round and the Conference Championships, we saw favorites run the board. Favorites went a perfect 4-0 SU in the Divisional Round, followed by a perfect 2-0 in the Conference Championships. This is the sixth time we've seen that happen in the Super Bowl era and in the previous five instances, the favorite's gone 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS.
Favorites have been good in the NFL playoffs, but recent history in the Super Bowl points to dogs barking. Since 2004, underdogs are 15-7 ATS, covering in five straight Super Bowls and winning four of the last five outright.
Going back to 2002, Super Bowls with a spread of 3+ points saw the underdog go 13-4 ATS. In the last 30 years, we've only seen a spread above 4, 16 times. In those 16 games, the underdog has gone 12-2-2 ATS.
Both teams have been great at covering spreads and this year's Super Bowl will be just the second time in NFL history where both teams have covered the spread in at 70% of their games.
- Seahawks: 14-5 ATS (73.7%) | 11-8 to the over
- Patriots: 14-6 ATS (70%) | 12-8 to the over
Against non-conference opponents:
- Seahawks: 3-2 ATS (60%) | 3-2 to the over
- Patriots: 4-1 ATS (80%) | 4-1 to the over
Super Bowl 60 Team Trends for the New England Patriots

What a Time to Be Alive
The Patriots go into Super Bowl 60 as a 4.5-point underdog and with their eyes set on the Lombardi Trophy. The Patriots have the 2nd best offense in the NFL, averaging 28.8 points per game and scoring 3.3 touchdowns per game (4th). The offense is 1st in yards per play, 4th in passing yards, 6th in rushing yards and have committed the 4th fewest turnovers.
Drake Maye has exceeded even the wildest expectations this year and it doesn't look like he's done yet. In just his second year in the NFL, he ranks 4th in passing yards, 3rd in touchdown passes, 1st in passer rating, 1st in completion percentage over expectation and he's got one of the best deep balls in the league.
Maye and the Patriots have now faced (and beaten) three of the top five defenses in the NFL this year. The wins are impressive and also the reason the team's averaging just 18 PPG in the postseason. This same offense averaged 28.8 PPG during the regular season and moved the ball at will.
- Maye has 29 regular season starts and the over's hit in 20 of the 29 games. That's second to only Lamar Jackson over the last two seasons.
- Maye has 18 starts in his career as the underdog, he's gone 7-11 SU and 10-8 ATS. This season he's 4-2 ATS/SU as an underdog, with the offense averaging 26.2 PPG in those six games.
Road Dogs
Super Bowl 60 is technically on the road for both squads, but the Patriots have been the very best road team in the NFL. New England's gone a perfect 9-0 on the road this year, their most recent win coming in the AFC Championship Game in Denver. One way they've been able to do that is by starting the game fast.
The Patriots this year:
- Are the only team to go undefeated on the road; 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS.
- Averaged 29.5 PPG on the road and 3.1 TDs/game, while allowing just 19.5 PPG
- Lead the league in first half points scored (16.5 PPG) and rank 3rd in first quarter points (6.5 PPG)
- Haven't trailed a game at halftime since Week 3. Maye is 15-0-2 on the first-half moneyline in his last 17 starts.
Head coach Mike Vrabel changed the culture here in New England. This Patriots squad went from 4wins last year to 14 wins this year, one of the biggest single season turnarounds in NFL history.
The defense ranks 4th in points allowed, 9th in pass yards allowed and 6th in rush yards allowed. The offense ranks 2nd in points scored, 4th in passing yards, 6th in rushing yards and 1st in yards per play. They've been great on both sides of the ball and so much of that is because of Vrabel. He's currently tied for the most wins in a head coach's first season with a new team (17) and a win in the big game would put him in sole possession of the record.
- Vrabel is 73-51 SU as a head coach and he's excelled as an underdog; going 35-26-2 ATS (57.4%)
- Against teams with winning percentages >65%, Vrabel owns a 17-10 ATS record, with his teams covering by a margin of 5.0 PPG
Super Bowl 60 Team Trends for the Seattle Seahawks

Sammy Boy
The Sam Darnold story arc is one I'm always going to get behind. After an abysmal start to his his career in New York and Carolina, he's now won 14-games in back to back seasons and he's set to start in his first ever Super Bowl this week. Darnold finished as a top five QB this season, finishing 5th in passing yards, 9th in passing touchdowns and top 10 in most other categories.
- Darnold 30-7 SU since start of last season, most wins of any QB.
- He is 25-11-1 ATS in those 37 games, also best among starting QBs
- Over the last two seasons, Darnold has gone 15-5 SU against teams with a record above .500
- In his career, Darnold is 0-4 SU/ATS against the Pats. All four previous games came with the Jets/Panthers.
I've talked about this before, but Sam's also thrived as a favorite in his career. As a favorite of:
- > 3 points: 17-3 SU | 12-8 ATS
- > 4 points: 15-1 SU | 11-5 ATS
- > 5 points: 14-0 SU | 11-3 ATS
- Average margin of victory in games with spread >5 points: 16.1 PPG
Boom 2.0
Darnold's issue this year, like most others, was turnovers. He led the league in turnovers this year and while some will tell you that's not a big deal, it's hard to imagine Seattle getting to Super Bowl 60 without this stout defense. They've got a top 10 pass rush, a top five run defense and a top five coverage unit. They do everything exceptionally on that side of the ball and it all starts with the playcalling of Mike Macdonald on the sideline.
Macdonald's in just his second year as an NFL head coach, but his defensive pedigree is obvious. Macdonald's made life hell for young QBs in his first two seasons, and a big reason why is the way he is disguises his defense.
- Macdonald's faced 10 QBs under the age of 25 in his career, they've gone a combined 1-9 SU. In these 10 games, they threw 7 total touchdowns, 12 interceptions and were sacked 30 times.
The Hawks ranked 1st in points allowed, 5th in opponent redzone efficiency, 4th in opponent first downs, 10th in opponent pass yards and 3rd in opponent rush yards. Seattle gave up the 2nd fewest yards per play this year and got to the QB for 2.8 sacks per game (6th).
- The Seahawks have set their single season record for ATS spread wins, going 14-5 ATS so far this year.
- The Seahawks are 9-2 SU against teams over .500. Those two losses were to the Buccaneers and Rams, both by less than a touchdown.
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Check Out All of the Super Bowl 60 Content at Betting News
Throughout the 2025 NFL season, Betting News has provided NFL consensus picks, expert picks, and in-depth analysis and insight every week, and that has continued for the season finale in Santa Clara.
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