Super Bowl LX | Early Odds & Team Preview: Seahawks vs. Patriots
Written by: Varun Sharma
Last Update: Thu Jan 29, 2026, 2:43 am ET
Read Time: 8 minutes
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It feels surreal. It feels like just yesterday I was watching Micah Parsons' first game as a Packer and now we're less than two weeks from the Super Bowl. We've got so much to discuss leading up to the big game so let's kick it off with an early odds preview and team preview for this year's big game at Levi's Stadium.
For additional information on picks, props, moneylines, and more for the Seahawks vs. Patriots matchup, take a look at our NFL Picks Page or our NFL Odds Page.
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Early Odds Preview
This year's Super Bowl will include the #1 seeded Seattle Seahawks representing the NFC and the #2 seeded New England Patriots representing the AFC. The line for this game opened at 3.5 towards the Seahawks with the total opening at 45.5. Since opening, we've seen the spread jump to 4/4.5 and the total's jumped an entire point; now sitting at 46.5.
This will be the second time these two teams meet in the Super Bowl, the first coming back in 2015 when Russell Wilson and Tom Brady were still under center for their two respective teams. The two teams have met three times since then, all three games resulting in Seahawk wins.
Both rosters have drastically changed since their most recent meeting last year and it's why both teams now meet in the big game. In last year's matchup we saw Jacoby Brissett suit up for the Patriots and Geno Smith under center for the Hawks. Both defenses were sub par units and both offenses struggled to generate points.
This year both the Patriots and Seahawks rank in the top-5 for points scored and top-5 for points allowed. Both teams have been elite on both sides of the ball and it's exactly why these two squads are the only two left standing.
The way too early splits are showing a large handle on the Patriots +4.5, with a majority of the bets the Hawks -4.5. We've still got 12 days before the big game, so remember that these splits are bound to fluctuate as are the actual game lines.
Betting Odds
Odds via Lucky Rebel, an industry leader in the sports betting world.
Team Preview – Seahawks
Sammy Sweetheart
In the biggest game of his career, Sam Darnold came to play. Darnold threw for 346 yards against the Los Angeles Rams in the NFC Championship game, completing 69.4% of his passes and threw 3 touchdowns in the process. The Seahawks run game last week was held in check. Kenneth Walker finished the day with 62 yards on 19 carries (3.3 YPC) and the Rams did exactly what they set out to do; put the game in Darnold's hands.
Darnold's now won a total of 30 games over the last two seasons, thrown for 4,000 yards in back to back years and he did it with two different teams. He finished 5th in passing yards this year, 4th in completion percentage over expectation, 4th in pass success rate and 1st in highly accurate throw percentage.
The Seahawks offense ranks 3rd in points scored, 3rd in yards per play, 8th in rush yards and gave up the 5th fewest sacks on the year. As good as they've been on that side of the ball, their kryptonite's been turnovers. Sam Darnold led the NFL in turnovers this year with 20 total turnovers: 14 interceptions and 6 lost fumbles. He becomes the first QB since Eli Manning in 2007 to lead the league in turnovers and still make the Super Bowl.
Legion of Doom
Now let's talk about how the Seahawks have managed to mitigate those turnovers and still win 16 games… and counting.
The Hawks rank 1st in points allowed, 5th in opponent redzone efficiency, 3rd in opponent rush yards and give up the 2nd least amount of yards per play. Seattle's defense has also forced the 5th most turnovers in the league, snagging 18 total interceptions and forcing 7 fumbles.
The team ranks 6th in sacks this year, they've got the 2nd highest graded coverage unit and 3rd highest graded run defense. The team's done a great job of eliminating big plays and it's why the Seahawks rank 1st in opponent EPA/play (-0.113).
Team Preview – Patriots
If You're Reading This, It's Too Late
If you're reading this, it's too late; the Patriots are back in the Super Bowl. All the whining about the Kansas City Chiefs and their dominance has led us right back here, to something maybe equally as miserable; a Patriots Super Bowl appearance.
New England rank 2nd in points scored this year, 4th in passing yards, 1st in yards per play and 1st in EPA/play. The engine that drives this offense is in his second year and already in heated discussions for the NFL's MVP Award.
Drake Maye has been elite in his first year as a full time starter, eclipsing 4,000 yards, throwing 31 touchdowns and just 8 interceptions. Maye finished 4th in the NFL in pass yards, 3rd in passing touchdowns, 1st in completion percentage and EPA/play. He finished the year as one of the best deep ball passers in the league, ranking top-5 in completions of 20+ yards, completion percentage on throws of 20+ yards and touchdowns thrown of 20+ yards.
Maye also finished with the 2nd most rush yards on scrambles this year, already setting the Patriots franchise record for postseason rushing yards by a QB with 141 through three games. He finished the year with the best passer rating in the NFL and was a top-5 QB this year by every single metric.
The Patriot Way
You can say what you want about the way the Patriots have won these games, but they've come away victorious nonetheless. Maye's seemed to struggle so far in the playoffs, averaging less than 200 pass yards per game with 4 touchdowns, 2 interceptions and 3 lost fumbles. That being said, this Patriots defense has shown no signs of struggle.
New England ranks 1st in points allowed this postseason (8.7 per game) and total yards from scrimmage allowed (209.7 per game). It's been the same during the regular season with the Pats ranking 4th in points allowed, 6th in rushing yards allowed and 9th in pass yards allowed.
The New England secondary has been elite this year and even better in the playoffs. The Pats have both Christian Gonzalez and Carlton Davis III playing at an elite level. Both players lead the playoffs in passer rating allowed when targeted and have already combined for 3 interceptions during this postseason.
New England has 5 total interceptions in their 3 games so far and have forced a total of 8 turnovers in the playoffs. The Hawks have yet to turn the ball over in the postseason but it's something they've struggled with all year.
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