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Sunday Night Baseball, Red Sox vs Yankees: Prediction & Best Bets
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Updated:
Read Time: 5 minutes
mlb
Boston Red Sox Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+1.5
-172
8
-120o
+118
New York Yankees Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
-1.5
+155
9
-120u
-128
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See Picks & Statistics For The GameWe’ve got a classic rivalry for Sunday Night Baseball this week as the Boston Red Sox travel down to New York to take on the Yankees! This current series is all tied up at 1 game a piece, but Boston leads the overall season series, 3-2, with several meetings to go. However, the Yankees are the ones with the last laugh currently, as they sit 5.5 games ahead of Boston in the AL East standings. There is still plenty of baseball left to be played this summer, but both squads are already thinking about playoff positioning and making a deep run in October.
Tonight these teams face off with the chance to win the series on the line, and a chance to even up the season series for the Yankees. Two studs hop on the bump for their teams, and we are in for a real treat! Let’s dive right in to our Sunday Night Baseball prediction!
Sunday Night Baseball at Yankee Stadium
Matchup Information
- Venue & Location: Yankee Stadium (Bronx, NY)
- Date: Sunday, July 7th, 2024
- First Pitch: 7:00pm Eastern
- Where to Watch: ESPN
Pitching Matchup
- Boston Red Sox: Kutter Crawford (4-7, 3.47 ERA)
- New York Yankees: Luis Gil (9-4, 3.41 ERA)
Betting Odds
Odds via BetOnline, an industry leader in the sports betting world.
Run Line
- Red Sox +1.5 (-157)
- Yankees -1.5 (+137)
Money Line
- Red Sox +134
- Yankees -146
Total
- Over 8.5 (-113)
- Under 8.5 (-107)
Will Red Sox Shell Luis Gil?
Luis Gil started out red hot for the Yankees, and is currently looking for his 10th win of the season. However, he’s been looking for it for several starts now. Gil has lost 3 straight starts, giving up 16 runs in just 9.2 innings and allowing a home run in all 3 starts. To put those numbers into perspective, that’s a 15.65 ERA and a 2.50 WHIP, drastically different than his overall numbers.
His home and away splits aren’t that drastic, but he was at home for 2 of those 3 rough starts, and tonight things don’t get any easier. Boston hits .252 overall, .254 against RHP and .256 on the road, so we shouldn’t see any severe changes in their hitting tonight. The Red Sox had won 5 games straight before losing to New York last night, but it will be interesting to see Crawford pitch.
Kutter Crawford is coming off a road win, and has won 2 of his L3 starts, but doesn’t have much else to show for it. He’s only won 2 road games on the season, but he does have a win against the Yankees already this year. Crawford pitched 6 innings, giving up 3 runs on 3 hits while striking out 9 batters en route to a 9-3 Red Sox win. Ironically, Gil has also seen this Boston lineup and picked up a win against them. In fact, that was Gil’s last win on the season, which was almost a month ago.
Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Best Bets
Best Bet: BOS/NYY Over 8.5 (-113) BetOnline
We’re betting on the juiced balls coming out tonight in New York, even with two studs on the mound. Look, they both pitched well the last time they saw this lineup, however they have not been great in recent games. Because of this, I think the hitters certainly have an advantage tonight in this matchup, as they are used to the pitcher’s nasty stuff.
Plus, who doesn’t love a little conspiracy theory?!
Since the start of June, 4 of the L5 Sunday Night Baseball games have gone over this number, and not particularly close either. Last week we saw an 11-2 beat down, and two weeks ago these two teams actually played to a 9-3 Red Sox victory on the shoulders of Mr. Crawford. Now, I’m not saying they are purposefully tossing out the juiced balls for these games, but if you wanted more eyeballs on your sport, wouldn’t you orchestrate some extra offense on national television?
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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