Rockies vs. Marlins (June 23): Freeland, Rockies look to avoid sweep in Miami

Eddie Griffin

Sweeps have been a theme of the last two series for the Colorado Rockies, but they will hope that trend ends for their benefit in today’s series finale against the Miami Marlins.

After being swept at home by the Cleveland Guardians last week, Colorado turned around and swept the San Diego Padres at Coors Field last weekend. After losing the first two games of their series in Miami, the Rockies will be looking to avoid the sweep and salvage something from their trip to south Florida.

Each of the first two games has not been short on offense, but will that continue this afternoon?

Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins Betting Odds and Matchup Information

Matchup Information

  • Matchup: Colorado Rockies (30-39, 11-20 road, 5th in the NL West) vs. Miami Marlins (31-36, 17-14 home, 4th in the NL East)
  • Venue & Location: LoanDepot Park (Miami, Florida)
  • Date: Thursday, June 23, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:10 p.m. Eastern Time
  • TV Broadcast/Streaming Info: MLB Network

Rockies vs. Marlins Pitching Matchup

  • Colorado Rockies: Kyle Freeland
  • Miami Marlins: Braxton Garrett

Rockies vs. Marlins Odds

Game odds are via FanDuel. Odds via our other top reviewed and recommended online sportsbooks may also be featured in this article.

Moneyline

  • Colorado Rockies +118
  • Miami Marlins -138

Over/Under

  • OVER 8.5 (-104)
  • UNDER 8.5 (-118)

Run Line

  • Colorado Rockies +1.5 (-178)
  • Miami Marlins -1.5 (+146)

Can Freeland Get His Third Straight Win?

June hasn’t been a particularly great month for the Rockies, who are just 8-13 this month and find themselves last in the NL West after being over .500 a little over a month ago.

But it has been a positive month for Freeland, who is 2-0 with a 3.15 ERA in three stars and comes into this matchup with back-to-back wins over the San Diego Padres.

After going six or more innings in only three of his first ten starts, Freeland has gone seven, six, and seven in his three starts this month.

If he can get through at least six again today, it will likely be a positive sign for the Rockies. This season, Colorado is 5-1 when Freeland has gone at least six, while they are 2-5 when he hasn’t, and all three of his wins have come when he’s hit or exceeded that number.

Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins Prediction and Best Bets

Rockies vs. Marlins Prediction: Rockies to win

Rockies vs. Marlins Best Bets: Rockies ML (+120 at Caesars Sportsbook, PointsBet & BetMGM), Rockies/Marlins UNDER 8.5 (-118 at FanDuel) & Marlins team total under 4 runs (+106 at FanDuel)

Colorado has been pretty good about avoiding sweeps this season, even on the road, where they have struggled the most. To date, the only road sweeps for the Rockies have come at the hands of the Phillies and Giants.

Freeland’s on a solid run right now, and he has better numbers on the road (3.00 ERA in five road starts vs. 5.32 ERA in eight home starts). Among the pitchers who have logged starts for Colorado this season, the next-best road ERA belongs to Chad Kuhl, who has a 4.39 ERA in eight road starts.

While there have been double-digit runs in each of the first two games of the series (and in four of five head-to-head matchups between Colorado and Miami this season), the under is the better bet for the series finale.

Along with the form that Freeland has been in, each of Garrett’s first three MLB starts–which were a trial by fire against the Giants (5-1 loss), Astros (5-1 win), and Mets (3-2 loss) –have been lower-scoring games.

Trends actually favor the over, which is 12-7-1 when the Marlins have been a home favorite and 19-11-1 in the Marlins’ home games.

But if the Rockies win with Freeland on the mound, as we are picking here, a lower-scoring game, at least for the Marlins, is the likeliest result. When he has started and the Rockies have won, the opponent has scored four or fewer runs six times, including all three of his credited wins.

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