Kate’s Prop Shop: The Best Props for Championship Round
Written by: Kate Constable
Last Update: Sun Jan 25, 2026, 9:36 am ET
Read Time: 3 minutes
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After two straight 1-2 weeks, we finally got back into the win column with a 2-1 week in the divisional round. Jake Tonges and Khalil Shakir both cashed for us. Unfortunately, Puka Nacua let us down by not getting into the endzone against the Chicago Bears.
With our record sitting at 29-25, we have two weeks left to finish off the NFL season strong.
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Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker III Over 20.5 Receiving Yards vs. Rams (Lucky Rebel, -114)
Walker's role sets up perfectly for this number. He's already cleared this line with ease in both matchups against the Rams this season, posting 44 and 64 receiving yards, and now he gets this spot without Zach Charbonnet in the lineup.
Without Charbonnet, Walker is ready for true every-down usage in the NFC Championship Game, especially on passing downs. Even with George Holani expected back for the Seahawks, Walker is the clear engine of this offense, and Seattle has consistently leaned on him as a safety valve against the Rams' pass rush.
Rams QB Matthew Stafford OVER 35.5 Passing Attempts vs. Seahawks (Lucky Rebel, -113)
It's no secret this offense runs through Matthew Stafford, and if this game stays tight late, Sean McVay won't hesitate to put it squarely in the hands of his veteran quarterback. Over the last 10 games, the Rams have thrown the ball on 58% of their offensive snaps, leaning on Stafford to dictate the offense.
Even when Los Angeles isn't playing from behind, McVay has remained aggressive through the air. Stafford just attempted 49 passes in Week 16 against Seattle, and he's hit 42 attempts in each of the Rams' two games in the NFL playoffs. Overall, he's averaging 37.5 pass attempts over his last 10 outings, and there's no reason to expect that volume to slow down on Sunday.
Broncos K Wil Lutz O1.5 Made Field Goals vs. Patriots (Lucky Rebel, -142)
I can see a path where Jarrett Stidham is able to move the ball downfield in the AFC Championship Game, but when it comes time to convert high-leverage third downs or finish drives, Broncos head coach Sean Payton is probably going to play it safe with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line. With an inexperienced quarterback under center, those borderline go-for-it moments are much more likely to turn into field-goal attempts.
New England's red-zone defense has also been much more disciplined over the second half of the season, forcing opponents to settle. Just last week, the Houston Texans went for three points three times, and the only points the Patriots allowed against the Los Angeles Chargers were on a field goal.
That combination sets up perfectly for Wil Lutz. He's been reliable all year and this feels like a game where field goals pile up instead of touchdowns.
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Kate is a Minnesota-born, Chicago-based sports broadcaster and betting analyst covering football and basketball across both the college and pro ranks. A host on the BetMGM Network (The Bettor Angle, BetMGM Gameday) and contributor at Betting News, she delivers smart, honest, and occasionally painful insight — usually while regretting her loyalty to the Bears and Timberwolves.
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