Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction & Best Bets (7/27)

Eddie Griffin

Written by: Eddie Griffin

Last Updated:

Read Time: 3 minutes

Best Pitching Matchups Today


No time to read? See our free statistics and matchup

The Washington Nationals are on one of their best runs of the MLB season, with five wins in their last six games. Can they keep it going tonight on the road as they begin a four-game series against the New York Mets (7:10 pm ET, ESPN+)?

Only one other time this season has Washington won five of six games, and they have not won more than three consecutive games since June 2021.

But the Nationals have a chance to tie their longest win streak since that point with a win tonight, and they will have their best pitcher on the mound as they attempt to do so.

Can Josiah Gray outduel Kodai Senga to give Washington a third straight win and a sixth in seven games? Read on for our prediction and picks for tonight’s matchup at Citi Field, but first, let’s take a look at Nationals vs Mets odds, courtesy of Bovada.

Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Odds


  • Washington Nationals +180
  • New York Mets -220


  • Over 9 (-115)
  • Under 9 (-105)

Run Line

  • Washington Nationals +1.5 (-110)
  • New York Mets -1.5 (-110)

Pitching Matchup for Nationals vs Mets

  • Washington Nationals: RHP Josiah Gray (20 starts, 7-8, 3.45 ERA)
  • New York Mets: RHP Kodai Senga (18 starts, 7-5, 3.27 ERA)

Gray Out to Match April Gem at Citi Field

Josiah Gray MLB Washington Nationals New York Mets prediction odds best bets 7/27/23

There aren’t going to be a lot of bright spots when you are 16 games under .500 and potentially on your way to finish last in your division for the third season in a row.

But Gray has been one of the biggest positives for the Nationals this year. The 25-year-old righty even played a hand in the National League’s win over the American League in the MLB All-Star Game earlier this month, tossing a scoreless third inning in the NL’s 3-2 win.

Gray’s season didn’t get off to the best of beginnings, as he lost his first four starts in 2023.

However, his fortunes turned with a gem at Citi Field, where he will be pitching tonight. On April 25, he allowed only four hits and a walk and struck out a season-high nine to pick up his first win of the season.

In Gray’s most recent road start, he allowed four runs and ten hits in five innings as the Nationals fell 8-4 against the Cardinals eleven days ago.

But on the whole, he has been at his best away from Nationals Park. He has allowed two or fewer runs while pitching five or more innings eight times in a dozen starts.

While Gray has been at his best on the road, Senga has been at his best at home. There, he is 3-2 with a 2.50 ERA in nine starts.

Senga had a couple of subpar starts last month, which was his poorest month ERA-wise to date. But he has otherwise been pretty sharp at home. He has allowed two or fewer runs while pitching five or more innings in seven of his nine starts there.

With how things line up on both sides, should we expect the under tonight? Through 45 home games for the Mets in 2023, the under is 29-14-2 (67.4%). That is the best percentage of success in the league.

Additionally, the under is 21-13-1 (61.2%) when the Mets have been favored at home. That is the fifth-best percentage in the league.

Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction and Best Bets

Prediction for Nationals vs Mets: Mets to win

Best Bet for Nationals vs Mets: Nationals/Mets under 9 (-105)

It’s best to stay away from an ML or RL pick for a matchup between two bad teams. But if you must make one, exercise extreme caution. That said, the under looks like an excellent pick here with Gray and Senga on the mound.

Where to Bet on MLB

Many of the top online sportsbooks that offer a wide variety of MLB odds throughout the season. In addition to being able to make daily MLB picks on games from Opening Day until the final game of the Fall Classic, you can also bet on the other major awards (MLB MVP, Cy Young Award, and MLB Rookie of the Year) and World Series odds.

Along with Bovada, where the Nationals vs Mets odds in this article came from, there are plenty of sports betting sites you can choose from that are good for MLB betting. The above books are some of the others that we highly recommend.

If you don’t have an account at a book on this list, check out our reviews to help you determine if it is worth your interest and your betting funds.

Other MLB Content on Betting News

See our Matchup - Free Picks & Stats
Eddie Griffin
Eddie Griffin

Eddie Griffin has been writing about and betting on sports for over a decade and has been with Betting News since 2021. For more of his thoughts on sports and sports betting, you can follow him on X, formerly known as Twitter.

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Betting News makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.