Mets-Phillies 4/13 Prediction, Starting Pitchers & Best Bets

Eddie Griffin

After a win over last year’s NL Cy Young runner-up, the New York Mets will send their three-time Cy Young Award winner to the mound as they seek an MLB series win this afternoon in Philadelphia.

In Monday’s series opener, the Mets were cruising towards a win, leading 4-0 heading into the bottom of the eighth inning. But in that frame, relievers Trevor May, Joely Rodriguez, and Seth Lugo combined to allow five runs and cough up the lead, and the Phillies pulled out a 5-4 win.

Last night, the Mets evened up the series, with Tylor Megill outdueling 2021 NL Cy Young runner-up Zack Wheeler. Single runs in the fifth and eighth proved to be enough, as the pen did not repeat Monday night’s issues in a 2-0 win for the visitors.

In today’s series finale, we have a top-tier pitching matchup, as three-time Cy Young winner and 2022 NL Cy Young favorite Max Scherzer matches up against Aaron Nola, who is looking to mount a Cy Young run after struggling last season.

Aaron Nola Phillies Mets vs Phillies preview MLB
Phillies pitcher Aaron Nola is looking to rebound from a subpar 2021 season.

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies April 13 Game Betting Odds, Starting Pitchers & Matchup Information

Matchup Information

  • Game Matchup: New York Mets (4-2, 1st in the NL East) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (3-2, 2nd in the NL East)
  • Venue & Location: Citizens Bank Park (Philadelphia, Pennsylvania)
  • Date: Wednesday, April 13, 2022
  • Time: 1:10 p.m. ET
  • How to Watch Mets vs. Phillies: SNY (Mets) & NBC Sports Philadelphia (Phillies)

Mets vs. Phillies Probable Starting Pitching Matchup

  • New York Mets: Max Scherzer (2022: 1-0, 4.50 ERA)
  • Philadelphia Phillies: Aaron Nola (2022: 1-0, 6.00 ERA)

Mets vs. Phillies April 13 Betting Odds

FanDuel Sportsbook

  • Moneyline: New York Mets -102, Philadelphia Phillies -116
  • Total: OVER 8.5 (-104), UNDER 8.5 (-118)
  • Run Line: New York Mets -1.5 (+168), Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 (-206)

Caesars Sportsbook

  • Moneyline: New York Mets -105, Philadelphia Phillies -115
  • Total: OVER 8.5 (-110), UNDER 8.5 (-110)
  • Run Line: New York Mets +1.5 (-190), Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+160)

BetRivers

  • Moneyline: New York Mets +100, Philadelphia Phillies -117
  • Total: OVER 8.5 (-107), UNDER 8.5 (-113)
  • Run Line: New York Mets +1.5 (-220), Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+170)

Scherzer Seeks to Continue Longtime Success Against Phillies

In his first season with the Mets, Scherzer is looking to become just the fifth pitcher with four or more Cy Young Award wins, joining Roger Clemens (seven), Randy Johnson (five), Steve Carlton (four), and Greg Maddux (four).

He opened the season as the favorite for the NL award, edging out the other three pitchers who joined him in the top four of last year’s voting: winner Corbin Burnes, runner-up Wheeler, and fourth-place finisher Walker Buehler.

After his first start, he remains the favorite, though he was far from dominant in his Mets debut. But in a return to the stadium that he called home for over six and a half seasons, he picked up the win over the Washington Nationals last Friday. In six innings, he allowed three runs on three hits and a walk and struck out six.

It wasn’t spectacular, but he did at least post a quality start. And based on his career numbers against the Phillies, we should see another such outing from Scherzer in this matchup.

Career Numbers for Max Scherzer vs. the Phillies

  • Starts: 25
  • Record: 14-4
  • ERA: 2.50
  • IP: 158.2
  • K/BB: 201/39
  • WHIP: 0.99

In his 25 starts against the Phillies, Scherzer has 18 quality starts.

And ominously for the Phillies, he has been especially successful at Citizens Bank Park. In 12 starts there, he is 8-1 (a win percentage of .889) with a 2.23 ERA. That is his best winning percentage in any venue in which he has made at least ten starts, with his new home, Citi Field, next best at .833 (10-2 with a 2.14 ERA in 14 career starts there).

With those numbers, it is likely that the Phillies will need Nola at his best to keep the home team in the game against the Mets. From 2017 to 2020, Nola was fantastic at home. In 56 home starts in that span, he was 28-10 with a 2.71 ERA. But last year, he was only 5-3 with a 3.86 ERA in 14 home starts.

For the Phillies to win today and to have a chance to make a push for the 2022 MLB playoffs, Nola will need to return to that previous home form. In his 2022 opener, he picked up the win on Friday against the Oakland A’s, allowing four runs and four hits and struck out seven (with no walks) in six innings.

He may have gotten the win, but after allowing 26 homers last season, he allowed two long balls against the A’s. Against a stronger lineup, he will need to be sharper.

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies April 13 Prediction and Best Bet

Prediction: New York Mets to win

Best Bet: New York Mets ML (+100 at BetRivers)

Philadelphia doesn’t love Scherzer, but Scherzer loves Philadelphia, and that will continue in this matchup.

It’s understandable that the Phillies are slight favorites with one of their most talented pitchers on the mound. Nola, when he is at his best, is one of the best pitchers in the league.

But he still has a lot to prove after last year’s struggles and combined with Scherzer’s success in Philadelphia and how the Mets have been the better team in this series other than Monday night’s eighth-inning implosion, the number that you can get at BetRivers is too good to ignore.

Best Mets vs. Phillies Prop Picks: Pete Alonso (+210) and Brandon Nimmo (+250) to have 2+ hits (both at FanDuel Sportsbook)

Alonso (10 for 29, .345 average, two doubles, three homers, five RBI) and Nimmo (9 for 29, .310 average, triple, two RBI, ten walks) have both had a decent bit of success against Nola.

Alonso, one of the preseason favorites to be the MLB home run leader this season, has started slowly, hitting only .200 (5 for 25) with one homer and five RBI in six games. He hit a grand slam in Saturday’s 5-0 win over the Nationals, but he went 0 for 8 in the first two games of this series.

While this is a good spot for Alonso to get going, it is a good spot for Nimmo to keep going. Nimmo has three multi-hit games in his first four games and was 2 for 4 with a run scored in Monday’s series opener.

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