Twins vs Dodgers Prediction and Best Bets for Today (5/17)

Eddie Griffin

Written by: Eddie Griffin

Last Update: Wed May 17, 2023, 8:21 am ET

Read Time: 3 minutes

Dustin May Los Angeles Dodgers Minnesota Twins prediction best bets May 17

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After having their six-game win streak ended by Bailey Ober and the Minnesota Twins last night, the Los Angeles Dodgers will look to start a new streak in this afternoon's rubber game at Dodger Stadium. Today's series finale in L.A. is set to start at 3:10 pm ET.

The Dodgers (27-16, 16-7 home) opened the series on Monday by winning 9-8 in 12 innings, but it was a different story last night. Ober allowed just one run in his six innings, and three Twins relievers combined for three shutout innings as Minnesota (24-19, 10-11 away) claimed a 5-1 win.

With Sonny Gray and Dustin May on the mound today, will we see few runs to wrap up the series? Read on for our prediction and best bets for today's Twins vs Dodgers matchup.

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Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Moneyline

  • Minnesota Twins +126
  • Los Angeles Dodgers -148

Over/Under

  • Over 8.5 (-110)
  • Under 8.5 (-110)

Run Line

  • Minnesota Twins +1.5 (-162)
  • Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+134)

Pitching Matchup for Twins vs Dodgers

  • Minnesota Twins: RHP Sonny Gray (4-0, 1.39 ERA)
  • Los Angeles Dodgers: RHP Dustin May (4-1, 2.68 ERA)

Will the Dodgers Bounce Back in a Big Way Today?

In yesterday's loss to the Twins, the Dodgers put up eight hits, four of which were doubles. But they were just 2 of 12 with runners in scoring position and were limited to a solitary fifth-inning run.

For just the seventh time in 43 games this season, the Dodgers were held to one run or no runs.

On a positive note, there's a good possibility that they will fare better at the plate, even with one of the AL's best arms on the mound for the Twins.

Entering today, Gray leads the American League in ERA and is tied with Houston's Framber Valdez and Texas's Nathan Eovaldi for the eighth-best AL Cy Young Award odds. In his eight starts this season, the 33-year-old righty has allowed fewer than two runs seven times.

However, the Dodgers have a pretty formidable record in this scenario. When they have been held to three or fewer runs this season, they have scored five or more runs in the following game 11 times (out of 15 instances) and have an 11-4 record in those games.

Also, in games following a loss, the Dodgers also have won 11 of 15 games, including six of their last seven.

Since giving up season highs in runs (five) and hits allowed (eight) against the New York Mets exactly a month ago, May is 3-0 with a 2.35 ERA in four starts.

That is more in line with what he has done all season, as that start against the Mets is the only one in which he has allowed more than two runs or five hits.

Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction and Best Bets

Prediction for Twins vs Dodgers: Dodgers to win

Best Bets for Twins vs Dodgers: Dodgers ML & Dodgers team total over 4.5 runs

Today's matchup certainly presents a challenge for the Dodgers, but I expect them to pass it. And as is the case with most Dodgers games, the run line is a high-value move here.

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Eddie Griffin
Eddie Griffin

Eddie Griffin has been writing about and betting on sports for over a decade and has been with Betting News since 2021. For more of his thoughts on sports and sports betting, you can follow him on X, formerly known as Twitter.

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