Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Best Bets, and Odds (5/13)

Eddie Griffin

Written by: Eddie Griffin

Last Update: Sat May 13, 2023, 10:27 am ET

Read Time: 4 minutes

Nick Ahmed Dominic Fletcher Arizona Diamondbacks San Francisco Giants MLB

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After losing three straight games, the Arizona Diamondbacks picked up a welcome win over the San Francisco Giants last night. Tonight, they will look to tack on another one with their NL Cy Young candidate on the mound in a matchup that is set for an 8:10 pm ET start time.

The Giants (17-21) opened the series with a 6-2 win on Thursday behind a four-hit game by rookie Casey Schmitt and 7.1 shutout innings by Alex Cobb. But the Diamondbacks (21-18) struck back with last night's 7-5 win, led by three hits, four RBI, and a first MLB home run for rookie Dominic Fletcher.

Will runs be more scarce this evening with Gallen and Anthony DeSclafani on the mound? Read on for our prediction and picks for today's Giants vs Diamondbacks matchup.

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San Francisco Giants vs Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Odds are via BetOnline as of Saturday, May 13, 2023, at 10:20 am ET.

Moneyline

  • San Francisco Giants +144
  • Arizona Diamondbacks -172

Over/Under

  • Over 7.5 (-118)
  • Under 7.5 (-104)

Run Line

  • San Francisco Giants +1.5 (-154)
  • Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (+128)

Pitching Matchup for Giants vs Diamondbacks

  • San Francisco Giants: RHP Anthony DeSclafani (3-2, 2.80 ERA)
  • Arizona Diamondbacks: RHP Zac Gallen (5-1, 2.36 ERA)

Will Gallen Rebound from Subpar Home Start?

Zac Gallen Arizona Diamondbacks MLB San Francisco Giants preview prediction picks 5/13

Gallen's last home start actually wasn't bad at all. In fact, it was excellent.

But when you consider that Gallen had recorded double-digit strikeouts, not allowed a single run, and had given up only nine hits and one walk in each of his first three home starts this season, his stat line from Monday's start against the Miami Marlins is a drop-off.

What was that stat line? 7 IP, 5 H, R, BB, 7 K.

I know, I know. Unacceptable, right?

So, he's got some making up to do tonight, armed with a 4-0 record, a 0.33 ERA, 41 strikeouts, and one run, 14 hits, and two walks allowed in 27.1 innings in four home starts in 2023.

That home form is a big reason why Gallen is neck-and-neck with Atlanta's Spencer Strider atop the NL Cy Young odds. Entering today, both Gallen and MLB strikeout leader Strider–who struck out 12 but took his first loss of the season yesterday against the Toronto Blue Jays–are at +230 at BetOnline, well ahead of three-time winner Clayton Kershaw.

Speaking of subpar starts, DeSclafani is coming off an actual subpar start. Against the Washington Nationals on Monday, DeSclafani allowed a season-high five runs and ten hits and took the loss in a home loss for the Giants.

However, all five of those runs and six of the ten hits were allowed in the first inning. Giants manager Gabe Kapler kept DeSclafani in despite the rough start, and he put up six consecutive zeros from that point. Unfortunately, San Francisco's bats managed only one run.

While Gallen has been at his best at home, DeSclafani has been at his best on the road. In three road starts, he is 2-0 with a 0.87 ERA, and he has allowed no walks, three runs, and 12 hits in 20.2 IP. In his most recent road start, he pitched eight shutout innings and allowed only three hits in a gem at Houston eleven days ago.

San Francisco Giants vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction and Picks

Prediction for Giants vs Diamondbacks: Diamondbacks to win

Picks for Giants vs Diamondbacks: Diamondbacks -1.5 (Best Value: BetOnline) & Giants/Diamondbacks under (Best Value: under 8 @ BetUS)

In addition to being 4-0 in Gallen's home starts, the Diamondbacks are 6-2 overall in Gallen's eight starts this season, with all six wins coming by multiple runs.

If you are looking to get in some player prop bets, in addition to having 7+ strikeouts in each of his home starts this season, he has 7+ Ks in nine of his last 11 home starts dating back to last season.

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Eddie Griffin
Eddie Griffin

Eddie Griffin has been writing about and betting on sports for over a decade and has been with Betting News since 2021. For more of his thoughts on sports and sports betting, you can follow him on X, formerly known as Twitter.

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