Nevada vs. New Mexico State Prediction, Picks, Odds: Mountain West and Independents on Display in Night Portion of Week 0

Nicholas Plowfield

The Nevada Wolfpack and New Mexico State Aggies kick off their season on Saturday night in Week 0. Nevada is coming off of an 8-5 season and a bowl game loss to Western Michigan.

The New Mexico State Aggies had a dismal season in 2021, finishing 2-10, and getting crushed on multiple occasions. The Aggies haven’t won a road game in the last three seasons, and they only have 5 wins overall.

The Wolfpack are heavy favorites at -300, and they are expected to do well on the road. You could say New Mexico State is in a rebuilding year, as they are expected to be the worst team in the FBS this season.

Nevada vs. New Mexico State Matchup Information and Betting Odds

Matchup Information

  • Matchup: Nevada Wolfpack (0-0, 0-0 Mountain West) vs. New Mexico State Aggies (0-0, Independent)
  • Venue & Location: Aggie Memorial Stadium (Las Cruces, New Mexico)
  • Date: Saturday, August 27, 2022
  • Game Time: 10:00 p.m. Eastern Time
  • Nevada vs. New Mexico State TV Info: ESPN2

Nevada vs. New Mexico State Odds

Game odds are via FanDuel. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.


  • Nevada Wolfpack -8.5 (-110)
  • New Mexico State Aggies +8.5 (-110)


  • Over 47.5 (-120)
  • Under 47.5 (+100)


  • Nevada Wolfpack +250
  • New Mexico State Aggies -300

History of Nevada vs. New Mexico State Football

Nevada and New Mexico State first met back in 1992 when Nevada was in the Big West Conference, and New Mexico State played in the Western Athletic Conference. The first meeting was won by the Wolfpack by a score of 35-21.

Nevada has won 4 straight meetings against the Aggies and 14 of 16 overall. The two teams met in 2021, with Nevada blowing out New Mexico State 55-28. That game was played in Nevada, so they will play the second half of the home-and-home on Saturday.

The scoring history between this two teams has been pretty outrageous, and the Over is definitely in play as far as betting goes. Nevada alone has averaged over 45 points per game when they get together.

The largest margin of victory was a game that Nevada won 63-14. That came back in 1996, but they have plenty of other blowout victories, as they have put up 40+ points against the Aggies 10 times.

The road team has never lost in this series, posting a perfect 7-0 record. The Wolfpack are on the road on Saturday, so with all of the stats listed above, they are a solid choice.

Nevada vs. New Mexico State Prediction and Picks

Nevada vs. New Mexico State Prediction: Nevada 45, New Mexico State 17

Nevada vs. New Mexico State Best Bets: Over 47.5 total points (-120 at FanDuel Sportsbook)

There isn’t much value in betting a heavy favorite outright. Nevada is the heavy favorite, and I have them wiping the floor with New Mexico State. Instead, we will focus on the Over/Under and the trends that follow it.

Nevada is averaging over 45 points per game alone in matchups with NMS. That almost hits the line you need at Over/Under 47.5, so it would be a smart play to look into the Over for a side bet.

If that isn’t enough to sway you, remember that they have scored 40+ points against the Aggies 10 times in 16 meetings. That percentage hammers home the idea for an Over side bet.

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Nicholas Plowfield
Nicholas Plowfield