Yankees vs. Mariners (August 9): Will Castillo win his first start in Seattle?

Eddie Griffin

Last Wednesday, Luis Castillo made a winning debut with the Seattle Mariners, leading them to a huge series win over the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium.

Tonight, he makes his home debut for Seattle against the same opposition as the M’s look to even up their series with the Yankees.

In his debut, Castillo allowed three runs, five hits, and three walks and struck out eight in 6.2 innings to earn the win in Seattle’s 7-3 win.

He outdueled Gerrit Cole, who allowed six runs and seven hits in six innings in his latest subpar start. If he can outpitch Cole again, the Mariners could pick up their 60th win of the season and set up a rubber game tomorrow afternoon with Robbie Ray on the mound.

New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners Matchup Information and Betting Odds

Matchup Information

  • Matchup: New York Yankees (71-39, 30-24 away, 1st in the AL East) vs. Seattle Mariners (59-52, 29-26 home, 2nd in the AL West)
  • Venue & Location: T-Mobile Park (Seattle, Washington)
  • Date: Tuesday, August 9, 2022
  • Game Time: 10:10 p.m. Eastern Time (7:10 p.m. local time)
  • Yankees vs. Mariners TV Info: MLB Network

Yankees vs. Mariners Pitching Matchup

  • New York Yankees: Gerrit Cole (2022: 22 starts, 9-4, 3.56 ERA)
  • Seattle Mariners: Luis Castillo (2022: 15 starts, 5-4, 2.95 ERA)

Yankees vs. Mariners Odds

  1. Game odds are via FanDuel. This article may also feature odds from other legal sportsbooks.

Moneyline

  • New York Yankees -138
  • Seattle Mariners +118

Over/Under

  • Over 7 (-104)
  • Under 7 (-118)

Run Line

  • New York Yankees -1.5 (+128)
  • Seattle Mariners +1.5 (-154)

Can the Yankees Build Off of Offensive Outbursts?

While the Yankees continue to have a hefty lead in the AL East and don’t appear to be in any danger of losing their hold in the division, their recent results are certainly a real cause for concern.

In the second half, they are just 7-11, and they just suffered a season-worst five-game losing streak.

Cole’s post-All-Star break form is one of the standout issues that have cropped up over the last few weeks. In three second half starts, he has allowed 15 runs (14 earned), and 23 hits, and he allowed three homers last Wednesday in Seattle.

Last Three Starts for Gerrit Cole

  • at Baltimore (July 23 – loss): 6 IP, 9 H, 4 R (3 ER), 2 BB, 6 K
  • vs. Kansas City (July 29 – no-decision): 6 IP, 7 H, 5 R (5 ER), 9 K
  • at Seattle (August 3 – loss): 6 IP, 7 H, 6 R (6 ER), 3 HR, 8 K

This is the first time that he has allowed four or more runs in three straight starts since August 26 (at Atlanta), August 31 (at Tampa Bay), and September 5 (at Baltimore) in 2020.

On the positive side, if he does struggle again tonight, the bats have picked it up in the last couple of games after some rough games in Seattle and St. Louis.

Nine runs and 16 hits were not enough for the win on Sunday, as the Cardinals wrapped up a stunning sweep with a 12-9 win.

But nine runs and 13 hits were enough in last night’s 9-4 win, with Josh Donaldson going 4 for 5 with two doubles, a homer, three RBI and three runs and Aaron Judge snapping a brief homer drought with a solo shot in the ninth.

But can they rough up Castillo for the first time this season? Perhaps the third time will be the charm.

Castillo wasn’t as stingy against the Bronx Bombers in his Mariners debut as he was in his gem in Cincinnati on July 14 (7 IP, 2 H, R, 4 BB, 8 K), but he was still very, very good.

New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction and Picks

Yankees vs. Mariners Prediction: Mariners to win

Yankees vs. Mariners Picks: Mariners ML (Best Value: +118 at FanDuel)

Seattle has lost the opener five times in their six second-half series, and they have bounced back to win the following game three times, with both losses coming against the Astros).

So, last night’s loss won’t knock them off of their game much, especially with Castillo on the mound. He is certainly in much better form than Cole is at the moment, with a 3-0 record, a 1.99 ERA, and six straight quality starts across his last six starts.

With that in mind, I love the value with the Mariners in this spot. Look for Castillo to continue his hot streak and have a winning debut in his new home.

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Eddie Griffin
Eddie Griffin

Eddie Griffin has been writing about and Betting on sports for over a decade. For more of his thoughts on sports and sports betting, you can follow him on Twitter.

Eddie Griffin has been writing about and Betting on sports for over a decade. For more of his thoughts on sports and sports betting, you can follow him on Twitter.