Rays vs Mariners: Prediction, Odds, & Best Bets (July 1)
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Update: Sat Jul 01, 2023, 10:56 am ET
Read Time: 4 minutes
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The Tampa Bay Rays are far from their Sunshine State home. This weekend the Rays are up in the Pacific Northwest taking on fellow American League squad, the Seattle Mariners.
We've looked at all the betting odds to come up with our prediction and best bets for Saturday's contest!
Let's breakdown tonight's matchup!
Check out our expert's thoughts on our MLB Picks Page!
Rays vs Mariners Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays are the best team in baseball and they showed the world why last night. They took down the Mariners 15-4 in Seattle, to improve their league-leading record to 57-28.
The Atlanta Braves are the only other team with 50+ wins at this point in the season.
Today we have two well known studs on the mound, and because of this, we see a very low total and basically a pick 'em on the side.
Will the Rays get another win in rainy Seattle? Or will the Mariners shake things up and pull out a victory?
Rays vs Mariners Game Information
Matchup Information
- Venue & Location: T-Mobile Park (Seattle, WA)
- Date: Saturday, July 1st, 2023
- First Pitch: 7:15pm Eastern
- Broadcast: FOX
Pitching Matchup
- Tampa Bay Rays: Tyler Glasnow (2-1, 4.45 ERA)
- Seattle Mariners: George Kirby (6-7, 3.26 ERA)
Betting Odds
Odds courtesy of Bovada.
Runline
- Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (+145)
- Seattle Mariners +1.5 (-165)
Moneyline
- Rays -125
- Mariners +105
Total
- Over 7.5 (-105)
- Under 7.5 (-115)
Rays vs Mariners Prediction & Best Bets
My gut tells me we see a low scoring game with these two pitchers on the mound. However a total of 7.5, down to 7 at some books, scares me enough to lay off.
No need to force anything, but I do lean heavily with the under.
As far as a side in this one, it's hard not to back the Rays, especially coming off a 9 run win last night. Yes, George Kirby is a tougher opponent, but he has had his share of struggles.
Against San Diego last month, Kirby went just 3.2 innings while allowed 5 earned runs on 11 hits.
Glasnow is similar, and can be a very hit or miss guy on the mound.
I'll stick to just player props in this one.
Player Props
Teoscar Hernandez over 0.5 Hit (-140)
This guy has been on a roll and history supports it.
Hernandez has had a hit in 64% of games this year, and in 7 of his last 10 home games. He bats .229 against righties, down from his .252 average, but he's familiar with Glasnow.
In 10 plate appearances against Glasnow, Teoscar Hernandez bats .429 with a homerun and 2 RBIs. Hernandez singled last night, and hitting in the 4 spot, we should get plenty of looks for just one base knock.
At this price, I'll gladly pay the juice man and root for one hit from Teoscar.
Josh Lowe over 1.5 Hits, Runs, & RBIs (-105)
We love sticking with the guys who are riding streaks over here, and we're doing it again with Josh Lowe.
Lowe is currently on a 6 game hitting streak. Batting 6th in the lineup, Lowe thrives on letting his teammates get on base and knocking them home.
He clears 1.5 HRR in 50% of games this year, and 56% on the road. He's cleared this number in 5 straight, totaling 19 HRR in that stretch.
Lowe also bats .281 against righties, and George Kirby allowed lefties to hit .261.
For just about even money, this is a no brainer until he cools off.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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