Phillies vs Brewers, Prediction & Best Bets: Brewers Get Out the Brooms
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Update: Sun Sep 03, 2023, 8:27 am ET
Read Time: 4 minutes
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The Phillies and Brewers square off in Milwaukee Sunday afternoon for some MLB action!
This game will be televised on Peacock as these two teams race to secure their playoff spot.
The Brewers are now 4.5 games ahead of the Cubs for 1st place in the NL Central and seem to be extending the gap as they are on a two game win streak.
The Phillies are 2.5 games ahead of the Cubs for the 1st Wild Card spot, and are comfortably 4.5 games ahead of missing the playoffs.
Regardless, both team will want a win today, so let's break it down!
Phillies vs Brewers Game Information
Matchup Information
- Venue & Location: American Family Field (Milwaukee, WI)
- Date: Sunday, September 3rd, 2023
- First Pitch: 1:05pm Eastern
- Broadcast: Peacock
Pitching Matchup
- Philadelphia Phillies: Ranger Suárez (2-6, 3.88 ERA)
- Milwaukee Brewers: Wade Miley (7-3, 3.17 ERA)
Betting Odds
Runline
- Phillies -1.5 (+145)
- Brewers +1.5 (-170)
Moneyline
- Phillies -111
- Brewers -109
Total
- Over 9 (-110)
- Under 9 (-110)
Phillies vs Brewers Best Bets
I think the Brewers complete this sweep here. They've won the last two nights by a score of 7-5 each game, and they took 2 out of 3 from the Phillies in Philadelphia after the All Star Break.
I have some player props that I will be targeting as well, but in a pick 'em game at home, I will gladly take the Brewers at this price.
Before going 2-2 their L4 contests, Milwaukee won 11 games straight. They are building momentum at the right time and will be very difficult to maintain down the stretch.
The Pick: Brewers ML (-109) Bovada
Player Props
William Contreras over 1.5 Bases (+135) Bovada
Contreras goes over this number in 46% of games overall but 50% at home.
He also smashes against the Phillies. He's cleared this line in 3/5 against Philly this year, plus he has 11 total bases in those games.
Contreras has 3 doubles against the Phillies this year, and has 8 hits in 4 games against them.
He bats .429 against Ranger Suárez with 4 singles, 2 home runs and 3 RBIs.
Contreras has a hit in 13 straight games, and has cleared 2+ bases in 7 of his L10 at home and four straight at home.
I think he keeps up this batting tonight.
Bryce Harper over 1.5 Bases (+135) Bovada
I'll make this one quick.
Bryce Harper has gone 0-4 the past two nights. But he rips Wade Miley.
In his career, Harper bats .462 against him with 5 singles and a double.
He's cleared 2+ Bases in 7 of his L10 games, yet he hasn't done so against Milwaukee.
What better day to finally clear this line against the Brewers than in their season finale?
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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