Padres vs Brewers, Odds & Picks: Brew Crew Completes the Sweep
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Update: Sun Aug 27, 2023, 10:49 am ET
Read Time: 3 minutes
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The San Diego Padres are in Wisconsin taking on the Milwaukee Brewers in the series finale on Sunday afternoon.
The NL Central leading Brewers have already won two games in this series, extending their winning streak to seven games.
They are now 4 games ahead of Chicago for 1st place in the division, and seem to have a playoff spot all but locked up.
On the other side of things, the Padres season is done. They are 19 games back in the NL West and have nothing to play for other than pride at this point.
Let's breakdown tonight's matchup!
Padres vs Brewers Game Information
In San Diego in the middle of April, the Brewers took 3 of 4 from the Padres at PETCO Park.
The Brewers win game 2 of that series 11-2, facing Padres pitcher, Michael Wacha, whom they get to see on the bump tonight.
Overall, the Brewers lead the season series 5-1 over the Padres and are outscoring them 31-22 in those games.
Tonight the Padres will try to get at least one win back as they face off in Milwaukee.
Matchup Information
- Venue & Location: American Family Field (Milwaukee, WI)
- Date: Sunday, August, 27th, 2023
- First Pitch: 2:10pm Eastern
- Broadcast: BSWI
Pitching Matchup
- San Diego Padres: Michael Wacha (10-2, 2.63 ERA)
- Milwaukee Brewers: Adrian Houser (5-4, 4.28 ERA)
Betting Odds
Odds courtesy of Bovada.
Runline
- Padres -1.5 (+135)
- Brewers +1.5 (-160)
Moneyline
- Padres -123
- Brewers +103
Total
- Over 9 (+100)
- Under 9 (-120)
Brewers vs Padres Best Bets
While Wacha is 10-2 on the year, he does struggle significantly more on the road than at home.
His ERA, WHIP and Opponent's Average all increase, while his K/Inning decreases away from PETCO.
In his one start against the Brewers this year, Wacha allowed 7 ER on 11 hits in just 4.1 innings. He allowed 2 home runs, walked a batter, and struck out 3 hitters.
I could see him getting shelled again tonight against a Brewers team that is hungry and ready for a post season run.
The Pick: Brewers ML +107 BetOnline
Player Props
Christian Yelich over 1.5 Bases (+120) Bovada
Christian Yelich has fantastic numbers against Wacha, and I think he takes advantage of it today.
For starters, Yelich bats .305 against righties, knocking 27/30 doubles and 13/16 home runs off such pitchers.
Against Wacha specifically, Yelich is 6/18 batting .333 with 2 singles, 2 doubles, and 2 home runs. He also has 4 RBIs.
Yelich hasn't faired well against the Padres as a whole, but he did hit a HR of Wacha back in April.
He's hit this line in 17/L30 home games, so for +120, I'm willing to bet on him to keep it going today.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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