New York Yankees vs. New York Mets MLB Picks and Predictions: May 15, 2026

Nate Hornung

Written by: Nate Hornung

Last Update: Fri May 15, 2026, 11:46 am ET

Read Time: 5 minutes

Ben Rice and the Yankees have had no problem scoring against the Royals. Does that continue tonight? Yankees Royals Picks

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The first Subway Series of the 2026 MLB season is upon us this weekend as the New York Yankees take on the New York Mets at Citi Field. Now, the two teams will go head to head in September at Yankee Stadium, but this weekend, the Mets play at home. It hasn't really helped them this year, as they are just 9-12 at Citi Field and find themselves at the bottom of the NL East, 11.5 games out of first place. The Yankees have been playing much better and are just two games behind the Tampa Bay Rays in the AL East. Can they bounce back after a loss and beat their rival on the road? Find out with our MLB picks below.

Check out the best odds on the market at our top online sportsbooks.

New York Yankees vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Insights

Clay Holmes might have his hands full tonight facing the bats of the New York Yankees - Yankees Mets Picks

Clay Holmes might have his hands full tonight facing the bats of the New York Yankees

The Mets had a VERY long losing streak earlier this year. At one point, they had lost 12 in a row, and while they haven't really turned things around, they are coming off sweeping the Tigers. They have only won four straight games once this year, they could add to that tonight. But the big bad Yankees are 27-17 overall and 13-11 on the road.

However, they are slumping. The Yankees have won just one of their last five games overall and are 2-6 in their last eight. Lucky for them, Cam Schlittler takes the bump and should continue his phenomenal start to the season. From the other dugout, Clay Holmes gets the nod. Let's look at the betting odds and find our wagers.

Matchup Information – Yankees vs. Mets – May 15

  • Venue & Location: City Field (Queens, NY)
  • Date: Friday, May 15, 2026
  • First Pitch: 7:10 p.m. Eastern
  • Broadcast: Apple TV

Yankees vs. Mets Pitching Matchup

  • New York Yankees: RHP Cam Schlittler (5-1, 1.35 ERA, 0.81 WHIP)
  • New York Mets: RHP Clay Holmes (4-3, 1.86 ERA, 1.01 WHIP)

Yankees vs. Mets Betting Odds

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Run Line

  • Yankees -1.5 (+117)
  • Mets +1.5 (-138)

Moneyline

  • Yankees -160
  • Mets +134

Total

  • Over 7 (-117)
  • Under 7 (-103)
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New York Yankees vs. New York Mets MLB Picks

Cody Bellinger is hitting .273 for the Yankees with a .378 OBP - Yankees Mets Picks

Cody Bellinger is hitting .273 for the Yankees with a .378 OBP

Yankees vs. Mets Prediction: Yankees Win and Cover, Under 7

Best Bet: Yankees F5 -0.5 (-113) Lucky Rebel Sportsbook

We are backing the Yankees to win the first five innings. Now, unlike our Red Sox bet last night, we do not have push potential, but I don't think we will need it. Cam Schlittler has been absolutely shoving this season, ranking second in the MLB in both ERA and WHIP. But on the road, his splits become even more impressive. His 1.35 ERA drops to 0.98 in six away starts this year, and his 0.81 WHIP somehow decreases to 0.64. That is absolutely insane.

He has allowed zero earned runs in five of his nine starts, and has allowed just two in his last five outings. The man is shoving. While the Mets splits do improve at home and against RHP, I think it's time for them to come back down to Earth after three straight wins. As for Clay Holmes, he has also been pitching well. At home, his ERA drops below 1.50, and his WHIP to sub 1.00. However he has allowed multiple earned runs to the Cardinals, Dodgers and Diamondbacks this season, all of whom are playing great offensively.

Ultimately, trust Schlittler to have another start allowing zero runs, and all we need is the Yankees' bats to come alive early.

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Nate Hornung
Nate Hornung

Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.

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