Desperation at the Trop: World Series Game 3 Expert Picks
Written by: TonesTakes
Published: Mon Oct 26, 2026, 10:19 am ET
Read Time: 5 minutes
mlb
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+1.5
-219
7
-114u
+103
Spread
Total
Moneyline
-1.5
188
7
-103o
-112
Last week's results went 3-3 for a small profit of .59Units. YTD now sits at 58-40 for a profit of 25.23 Units. Tonight we have Game 3 of the Fall Classic between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Tampa Bay Rays.
How will Game 3 play out? Let's dive into the Best Bets but Before we do, if you are looking for more information on how to bet baseball; take a look at our MLB Betting Guide.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays Predictions
The Fall Classic shifts to St. Petersburg Florida as Tropicana Field hosts game 3 between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Tampa Bay Rays. The Brew Crew took both game in Milwaukee by scores of 3-2 and 5-4. Tampa Bay could have one either game but they have uncharacteristically been sloppy on the base paths and defensively. Game 2 was an especially frustrating loss as Tampa jumped on Milwaukee scoring 4 runs in the first but were blanked the rest of the way.
Last 5 Games
MIL
Result
ATS
Total
vs TB
W4 - 5
W+1.5
10.5
vs TB
W2 - 3
L-1.5
5.5
@ LAD
W6 - 4
W+1.5
11
@ LAD
W6 - 2
W-2.5
7
vs LAD
W4 - 7
W+1.5
10
TB
Result
ATS
Total
@ MIL
L4 - 5
L-1.5
10.5
@ MIL
L2 - 3
W+1.5
5.5
vs CLE
W3 - 7
W-3.5
P10
@ CLE
W3 - 1
W-1.5
P4
@ CLE
W7 - 3
W-1.5
5
Betting Records
MIL
TB
112 - 59(1st)
51 - 33
Wins
Away/Home
(2nd)105 - 68
59 - 27
91 - 80 - 0(7th)
43 - 41 - 0
ATS
Away/Home
(2nd)95 - 78 - 0
49 - 37 - 0
72 - 72 - 27(30th)
37 - 37 - 10
Ov / Un
Away/Home
(28th)78 - 69 - 26
37 - 36 - 13
Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays Pitching Matchup
- Milwaukee Brewers – LHP Robert Gasser (0-0, 1.00 ERA/0.89 WHIP)
- Tampa Bay Rays – RHP Freddy Peralta (2-0, 1.08 ERA/1.14 WHIP)
Brewers vs Rays Betting Odds
Odds courtesy of our friends at LuckyRebel:
Run Line
- Milwaukee -1.5 (+172)
- Tampa Bay +1.5 (-210)
Money-line
- Milwaukee -101
- Tampa Bay -1115
Total
- Over 7 (-113)
- Under 7 (-107)
Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks
Best Bet: Tampa Bay Rays -115 Lucky Rebel
The Tampa Bay Rays host Game 3 of the World Series tonight in what is as close as a must win as you will get. Down 2-0 in the series after losing 2 razor thin games in Milwaukee, the Rays will be in the friendly confine of Tropicana field where they had a stellar home record of 55-26 during the regular season. Tampa has continued that success into the postseason where they are 4-1. Right hander Freddy Peralta toes the rubber for Tampa Bay tonight. Peralta was acquired at the trade deadline from the New York Mets and faces his old team tonight as he spent 8 seasons with the Brewers. After a shaky first few start he has been lights out. Since August 26th, including the playoffs, Peralta is 7-0 with a 0.89 ERA across 11 appearances.
Milwaukee Counters with left hander Robert Gasser, who struggled on the road in the regular season. In 12 road appearances, Gasser sported a 4.60 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. He has been solid in the playoffs however, allowing only 1 run over 9 innings pitched. The Rays hit lefties very well down the stretch, especially at home. During the month of September at the Trop, Tampa hit .289 vs left handers, along with an OPS of .816 and a wRC+ of 129. Tampa Bay's bats have been teasing a breakout in this series and they have gone 10-0 in Peralta's last 10 appearances, I like them to get back into this series tonight and win Game 3.
Best Bet: Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Total Bases +135 Lucky Rebel
I am looking at Tampa Bay Star Junior Caminero to lead the offensive charge tonight. Junior had a fantastic regular season hitting .276 with 42 home runs and 101 runs batted in, adding 25 doubles. He hit .284 at home with 22 home runs and 15 doubles. Caminero is in the top percentiles in Exit Velocity, Barrel rate and hard Hit rate and against Left handers he hit .287 with an ISO of .204. The Rays third baseman has cleared this mark in 3 of 5 postseason home games and he is riding a 5 game hit streak currently. If you are into Home Run bets, he is a good candidate to go deep but I'll stick with his Total bases here.
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