Brewers vs Dodgers Prediction & Expert Picks (8/17)
With ten straight wins and 14 wins in their last 15 games, the Los Angeles Dodgers have now established a double-digit lead in the NL West. Tonight, they will look to keep things rolling by breaking out the brooms against Corbin Burnes and the Milwaukee Brewers.
Yesterday, the Dodgers (73-46, 40-20 home) picked up the series win and their ninth straight home win, with five strong innings from Clayton Kershaw and eight hits from Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman, and Will Smith leading the way in a 7-1 win.
The Brewers (65-56, 32-29 away) have a winning record in Burnes’s road starts this season, but will that success continue tonight? With the way that Lance Lynn has pitched since joining the Dodgers, it doesn’t look good for Milwaukee.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Odds
Odds are via MyBookie.
- Milwaukee Brewers +123
- Los Angeles Dodgers -151
- Over 8.5 (-101)
- Under 8.5 (-120)
- Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 (-172)
- Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+139)
Pitching Matchup for Brewers vs Dodgers
- Milwaukee Brewers: RHP Corbin Burnes (24 starts, 9-6, 3.60 ERA)
- Los Angeles Dodgers: RHP Lance Lynn (24 starts, 9-9, 5.88 ERA – 3 starts, 3-0, 2.00 ERA with Dodgers)
Can the Brewers Solve Lynn to Swerve Sweep?
Prior to this series, Milwaukee had scored 39 runs in six games in going 5-1 against the Colorado Rockies and Chicago White Sox.
But the runs have dried up in their stay in L.A. In the first two games of the series, they have managed just three runs and five hits. The Dodgers haven’t been generous with the free passes either, issuing only four walks and one HBP.
That’s not likely to change tonight with Lynn on the mound, even though the Brewers are much better this season in games started by righties.
In 85 games started by a RHP, Milwaukee is hitting .239 and averaging 4.74 runs per game. And in 36 games started by a LHP, they are hitting just .216 and averaging only 3.14 runs per game.
However, Lynn has been outstanding since he was acquired from the White Sox at the end of last month.
In three starts, he has allowed five runs (four earned), 13 hits, and four walks, while striking out 22 in 18 innings.
It’s quite the turnaround from his final three starts with Chicago, in which he allowed 20 runs (17 earned), 21 hits, and eight walks in 16.2 innings.
While runs may be scarce for the Brewers, Burnes should keep them in the game.
He allowed five runs, eight hits, and three walks in 5.2 innings against the White Sox in his most recent start last Friday, which snapped a run of seven straight starts in which he pitched at least six innings and allowed two or fewer runs and four or fewer hits.
For the most part, Burnes has done well with bouncing back his poorer starts this season, so we should see better from him tonight. Friday was the fifth time this season that he allowed five or more runs, and in three of the previous four instances, he allowed either one run or no runs in his next start.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction and Expert Picks
Brewers vs Dodgers Picks: Dodgers -1.5 (+139 at MyBookie) & Brewers/Dodgers under 8.5 (-120 at MyBookie)
Burnes will rebound well from his start against the White Sox, but the Dodgers are still the pick here in what should be a lower-scoring game.
Also, even though it should be a lower-scoring game, the run line is still the best value move with the Dodgers.
Of their 40 home wins this season, 32 (80%) have been by multiple runs. That is just a bit below their overall numbers for the season. Out of their 73 wins, 60 (82.2%) have been by multiple runs. Only four teams (Cardinals, Padres, Rangers, and Yankees) have as many or fewer one-run wins, and three of those teams are under .500.
Where to Bet on MLB
Many top online sportsbooks offer a wide variety of MLB odds throughout the season.
In addition to being able to make daily MLB picks on games from Opening Day until the final game of the Fall Classic, you can also bet on the other major awards (MLB MVP, Cy Young Award, and MLB Rookie of the Year) and World Series odds.
Along with MyBookie, where the Orioles vs Padres odds in this article came from, there are plenty of sports betting sites you can choose from that are good for MLB betting. The above books are some of the others that we highly recommend.
If you don’t have an account at a book on this list, check out our reviews to help you determine if it is worth your interest and your betting funds.
Eddie Griffin has been writing about and betting on sports for over a decade and has been with Betting News since 2021. For more of his thoughts on sports and sports betting, you can follow him on X, formerly known as Twitter.
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