After splitting the first two games of their series, the Los Angeles Dodgers and Milwaukee Brewers will play the rubber game of their series this afternoon at American Family Field (1:40 pm ET, MLB Network).
On Monday, the Brewers (20-16) opened the series with a 9-3 win, with all 12 of the game's runs coming in the final four and a half innings.
Last night, the Dodgers (22-15) evened things up with a 6-2 win, backed by three homers and a strong effort by the bullpen after an early exit for Noah Syndergaard.
Who will take the win in the series finale? Read on for our prediction and picks for today's Dodgers vs Brewers matchup.
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Odds are via BetOnline as of Wednesday, May 10, at 7:20 am ET.
Moneyline
- Los Angeles Dodgers -164
- Milwaukee Brewers +138
Over/Under
- Over 8 (-110)
- Under 8 (-110)
Run Line
- Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+105)
- Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 (-126)
Pitching Matchup for Dodgers vs Brewers
- Los Angeles Dodgers: LHP Clayton Kershaw (5-2, 2.53 ERA)
- Milwaukee Brewers: LHP Wade Miley (3-1, 2.31 ERA)
Can the Brew Crew Collect Their First Series Win of May?
While the Dodgers have picked up the pace recently after a slow start to the season, things have been going the opposite way for the Brewers.
Instead of getting their third win in a row last night, Milwaukee fell for the seventh time in nine games.
The Brewers opened the season by winning five of their first six series. But they have since lost four of their last five series, including their first two series this month to the Colorado Rockies and San Francisco Giants.
Today presents a good opportunity to help get the ship moving in the right direction.
Though the Dodgers have won nine of their last 11 games, they are still only 10-11 in games following a win and 8-8 as a road favorite.
Also, all of Kershaw's worst starts this season have been on the road.
In three home starts, he is 3-0 with a 0.45 ERA and has given up just one run and nine hits (and no walks) in 20 innings. But he has given up at least three runs in each of his four road starts, and overall, he has allowed 23 hits, 14 runs (11 earned), and ten walks in 22.2 innings on the road.
This past Friday, he allowed season highs in hits (eight) and walks (five) and tied season highs in runs (four) and homers (two) as he pitched a season-low 4.2 innings in a loss at San Diego.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction and Picks
Prediction for Dodgers vs Brewers: Brewers to win
Picks for Dodgers vs Brewers: Brewers ML (Best Value: BetUS) & Dodgers team total under 4.5 runs (Best Value: BetOnline)
The Brewers are 3-0 in Miley's home starts this season, and in those three home starts, Miley is 2-0 with a 1.59 ERA (17 IP, 16 H, 3 R, 3 ER, BB, 8 K). Also, last Thursday's game at Colorado was the first time this season that an opponent had scored more than four runs in a game Miley has started.
With the numbers he has put up at home and the struggles Kershaw has had on the road, I love the value here with the Brewers. And if you don't feel bold enough to take the ML, there's also good value on the run line anywhere you look.
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