Dodgers vs Padres: Prediction, Odds & Best Bets (August 4)

Nate Hornung

Written by: Nate Hornung

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The Dodgers and Padres face off in this NL West rivalry on Friday Night in San Diego!

This is the third of four series between these teams this 2023 MLB Season. Tonight is game one of a four game series that ends with an afternoon contest on Monday.

The Padres won the very first game between these two to start the season series, but since then, its been all LA.

The Dodgers have won 5 out of 6 against San Diego this year, and lead the Padres by 9 games in the NL West.

Let’s talk about tonight’s matchup!

Dodgers vs Padres Season Series

Like I said, the season series is all Dodgers. However, each game has been somewhat competitive.

The lone Padres win was a 5-2 victory at home, but the next day the Dodgers won 2-1.

San Diego was leading 2-1 going into the 9th in the third matchup, but gave up a run in the 9th, and the Dodgers forced extras. Los Angeles scored 3 in the top of the 10th and won the game 5-2.

After just one series in between, the Padres traveled to Dodger Stadium and promptly were swept by Los Angeles.

The Dodgers won the first two of this series 4-2, and then shutout the Padres 4-0 in the finale.

Tonight at home, the Padres look to get back on track.

Can Yu Darvish get them there against their Big Brother?

Dodgers vs Padres Game Information

Dodgers Padres Prediction Best Bets August 4

Matchup Information

  • Venue & Location: PETCO Park (San Diego, CA)
  • Date: Friday, August, 4th, 2023
  • First Pitch: 9:40pm Eastern
  • Broadcast: SDPA

Pitching Matchup

  • Los Angeles Dodgers: Bobby Miller (6-2, 4.37 ERA)
  • San Diego Padres: Yu Darvish (8-7, 4.53 ERA)

Betting Odds

Odds courtesy of Bovada.


  • Dodgers +1.5 (-195)
  • Padres -1.5 (+165)


  • Dodgers +107
  • Padres -128


  • Over 8 (-115)
  • Under 8 (-105)

West Coast Showdown

Dodgers Padres Prediction Best Bets August 4

Darvish pitched well against the Dodgers in their first meeting, and quite frankly, he fairs well against this team historically.

He went 6.2 innings while only giving up 1 ER on 4 hits. He struck out 6 in the Padres lone win against the Dodgers.

Darvish had 9 strikeouts in his last start, but the Dodgers’ offense has been great lately. Last series against the A’s, Los Angeles scored 7, 10, and 8 runs in that game.

I don’t trust Yu to have another good start against the Dodgers, and although the Padres have won 6 of their last 8, I think the LA is establishing themselves as a real Championship contender.

The Pick: Dodgers ML (+112) BetOnline

Player Props

Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 Bases (+100) Bovada

Dodgers Padres Prediction Best Bets August 4

You don’t need much reason to bet on this guy, but I’ll give you a few anyways.

For starters, Freeman hits in 55% of away games this season. Both triples and 12 of his 22 home runs were on the road.

Freeman bats .337 against RHP this year, and he bats .333 against Darvish in 27 plate appearances.

He has 8 hits, 2 doubles and 2 home runs with 3 RBIs against Yu.

Freddie has a hit in 26 of his last 30 away games, and has cleared 2+ bases in 60% in that stretch. More recently he’s cleared in 6 of his last 9, totaling 30 bases with 3 home runs and 4 doubles.

He’s hit 2+ bases in 4 straight games, with a home run last night and 12 total hits in those games.

Plus, he’s cleared in 3 straight away games with 18 total bases, 3 home runs, and a double.

Bonus Bet: Freeman 2+ Hits (+180)

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Nate Hornung
Nate Hornung

Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.

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