Dodgers vs. Marlins (August 28): Is another low-scoring game in the cards for the Dodgers?

Eddie Griffin

After being on the receiving end of the latest edition of the Sandy Alcantara Show on Saturday night, the Los Angeles Dodgers won’t have it any easier in today’s matchup with the Miami Marlins.

Alcantara had his worst start of the season last Sunday against the Dodgers, but he bounced back from his Dodger Stadium disaster in a big way with his league-leading fifth complete game in a 2-1 win for the Marlins.

Alcantara is the man to beat for this year’s NL Cy Young Award, and that performance only strengthened his spot as the odds-on favorite. But the Dodgers could have their hands full with a potential future Cy Young candidate this afternoon in Edward Cabrera, who has been untouchable in August.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins Matchup Information and Betting Odds

Matchup Information

  • Matchup: Los Angeles Dodgers (87-38, 42-22 away, 1st in the NL West) vs. Miami Marlins (55-71, 26-34 home, 4th in the NL East)
  • Venue & Location: LoanDepot Park (Miami, Florida)
  • Date: Sunday, August 28, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:05 p.m. Eastern Time
  • Dodgers vs. Marlins TV Info: Peacock

Dodgers vs. Marlins Pitching Matchup

  • Los Angeles Dodgers: Julio Urias (2022: 24 starts, 13-7, 2.36 ERA)
  • Miami Marlins: Edward Cabrera (2022: 7 starts, 4-1, 1.41 ERA)

Dodgers vs. Marlins Odds

Game odds are via FanDuel. Odds from other top legal sports betting websites may also be mentioned in this article.

Moneyline

  • Los Angeles Dodgers -280
  • Miami Marlins +230

Over/Under

  • Over 7 (-105)
  • Under 7 (-115)

Run Line

  • Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-152)
  • Miami Marlins +1.5 (+126)

Can Cabrera Continue August Stretch Against MLB’s Best Team?

Alcantara’s gem against the Dodgers was the 12th time this season that he has held an opponent to fewer than two runs, so we have certainly grown accustomed to these performances.

But they are certainly a rarity for the Dodgers, who were held to fewer than two runs for just the 13th time in 125 games this season.

Based on how they have overwhelmingly performed after those instances, a strong response is likely for Los Angeles, as they are 10-2 following the first 12 instances.

But they have a tough, tough challenge ahead in Cabrera, who has been outstanding since making his return from the IL three weeks ago.

In four August starts, Cabrera is 2-0 and has not allowed a single run. He has allowed ten walks in 22.2 innings, but he has allowed only eight hits and has tallied 28 strikeouts.

Last Monday in Oakland, the 24-year-old righty pitched a career-best eight innings, allowed two hits and three walks, and struck out seven in a 3-0 win.

The Dodgers have yet to be held to fewer than two runs in consecutive games this season, and there has been only one stretch in which they scored two or fewer runs in two or more games in a row. So, it will be quite the strange sight if it happens again today.

But if it does, they will still be in the game if Urias pitches as he has on the road for the most part this season.

Since allowing three runs in 5.1 innings at Colorado on June 29, Urias has allowed just three runs in 25 innings across his last four road starts. And in 13 road starts this season, he has allowed more than two runs just twice.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins Prediction and Picks

Dodgers vs. Marlins Prediction: Marlins to win

Dodgers vs. Marlins Picks: Marlins +1.5 (Best Value: +130 at Caesars Sportsbook) & Dodgers team total under 4.5 runs (Best Value: -114 at BetRivers)

After losing eight times in Urias’s first 12 starts this season, L.A. had won 11 straight Urias starts until last Monday’s loss to the Milwaukee Brewers.

Also, they are 24-13 (.649) following a loss this season, and they are 13-2 in their last 15 games following a loss.

So, the odds are certainly favorable for a bounce-back for the NL West leaders. But Cabrera has been a beast this month, and while the Marlins aren’t a great team by any stretch, I love the value with backing them to at least keep it close in another low-scoring game.

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Eddie Griffin
Eddie Griffin

Eddie Griffin has been writing about and Betting on sports for over a decade. For more of his thoughts on sports and sports betting, you can follow him on Twitter.

Eddie Griffin has been writing about and Betting on sports for over a decade. For more of his thoughts on sports and sports betting, you can follow him on Twitter.