Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction & Picks (March 31): What Run Line Bet Should You Make?

While Opening Day of the new MLB season featured plenty of drama across the 15 games that were played, there was no real drama in the matchup between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Los Angeles Dodgers, as the home team put up multiple runs in three innings in an 8-2 win.

Will we see more of the same in tonight’s matchup at Dodger Stadium (10:10 pm ET, ESPN+)? Read on for our Diamondbacks vs Dodgers prediction and best bets.

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Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

• Arizona Diamondbacks: RHP Merrill Kelly (13-8, 3.77 ERA in 33 starts in 2022)
• Los Angeles Dodgers: RHP Dustin May (2-3, 4.50 ERA in six starts in 2022)

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Odds

Odds are via FanDuel as of Friday, March 31, 2023, at 10:05 am ET.

Moneyline

• Arizona Diamondbacks +164
• Los Angeles Dodgers -196

Over/Under

• Over 7.5 (-108)
• Under 7.5 (-112)

Run Line

• Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 (-137)
• Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+114)

Will the Dodgers Defeat Kelly Yet Again?

Last season was the best season of Kelly’s career, but if he didn’t have to deal with the Dodgers at all, his numbers would have been even better.

Here’s how Kelly fared against the rest of the league, compared to how he fared against the Dodgers.

• Kelly vs the Dodgers (five starts): 0-5, 8.25 ERA, 24.0 IP, 32 H, 22 R (22 ER), 15 BB, 26 K
• Kelly in 28 starts vs other teams (28 starts): 13-3, 2.71 ERA, 176.1 IP, 135 H, 55 R (53 ER), 46 BB, 151 K

For his career, Kelly is 0-9 with a 5.97 ERA in 12 starts against the Dodgers. In those 12 starts, the Diamondbacks have won just once, an 11-5 win at Chase Field on August 29, 2019.

Also, of the 11 games that the Dodgers have won, eight have come by multiple runs. That isn’t surprising at all, given what L.A.’s usual results. Last season, 96 of their 111 regular season wins were by two or more runs.

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction and Best Bets

Prediction for Diamondbacks vs Dodgers: Dodgers to win

Best Bets for Diamondbacks vs Dodgers: Dodgers -1.5 (Best Value: BetRivers)