Blue Jays vs. Guardians (May 6): Back Gausman, Jays in Cleveland

Eddie Griffin

Two of the leading AL Cy Young Award contenders will in action tonight in Cleveland, as Shane Bieber and the Cleveland Guardians face off against Kevin Gausman and the Toronto Blue Jays.

Entering today’s MLB action, 2022 AL Cy Young Award odds at FanDuel have Gausman and Bieber, who won the award in 2019, in the top four.

Current 2022 AL Cy Young Award Odds

Odds are via FanDuel.

  • Justin Verlander, Houston +650
  • Kevin Gausman, Toronto +750
  • Gerrit Cole, New York Yankees +750
  • Shane Bieber, Cleveland +800
  • Dylan Cease, Chicago White Sox +850
  • Shohei Ohtani, Los Angeles Angels +1000
  • Shane McClanahan, Tampa Bay +1200
  • Alek Manoah, Toronto +1300

A stellar streak is on the line tonight at Progressive Field, as Gausman has yet to allow a walk across five starts and 31.1 innings pitched this season. In this outing, he will face a lineup that ranks 20th in the league in walks but has the seventh-fewest strikeouts in the majors.

Bieber, meanwhile, has started well in 2022 after being limited to only 16 starts in 2021. His record doesn’t show it yet, but a second Cy Young is a serious possibility for Bieber if he keeps up his current form.

Which Cy Young contender will come out on top in this matchup in Cleveland? Keep reading to find out our Blue Jays vs. Guardian prediction and picks for tonight’s showdown of talented arms.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians May 6 Betting Odds and Matchup Information

Matchup Information

  • Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays (16-11, 3rd in the AL East) vs. Cleveland Guardians (12-13, 2nd in the AL Central)
  • Venue & Location: Progressive Field (Cleveland, Ohio)
  • Date: Friday, May 6, 2022
  • Time: 7:10 p.m. Eastern Time
  • How to Watch Today’s Blue Jays vs. Guardians Game: Bally Sports Great Leaks

Blue Jays vs. Guardians Probable Starting Pitchers for May 6

  • Toronto Blue Jays: Kevin Gausman
  • Cleveland Guardians: Shane Bieber

Blue Jays vs. Guardians May 6 Betting Odds

Blue Jays vs. Guardians odds are via FanDuel. This article may also contain odds from our other top reviewed and recommended sportsbooks.

Moneyline

  • Toronto Blue Jays -142
  • Cleveland Guardians +120

Total Runs Over/Under

  • OVER 6.5 (-112)
  • UNDER 6.5 (-108)

Run Line

  • Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (+130)
  • Cleveland Guardians -1.5 (-156)

Is Another One-Run Game in the Cards Tonight in Cleveland?

In last night’s series opener, Toronto struck first with two runs in the top of the 1st. But Cleveland scored six runs across the second, third, and fourth and then held on for a 6-5 win.

It was yet another one-run game for the Jays, who lead the majors in one-run games with 14. And while they lost yesterday, such losses have been infrequent, as they are 10-4 in one-run games thus far.

By comparison, Toronto had only 30 one-run games last season and did not reach 14 one-run games until the 66th game of the season.

There’s a good chance that we have another such game tonight. Of Gausman’s first five starts, four ended up being one-run games. And while Cleveland has only seven one-run games to date, they enter tonight’s game having played three consecutive one-run games.

Gausman and Bieber head into tonight’s matchup with three straight quality starts. In his trio of starts, Gausman is 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA and 27 strikeouts in 21 innings pitched. And in his trio of starts, Bieber is 1-1 with a 2.36 ERA, along with 20 strikeouts and just three walks in 19.1 innings.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians May 6 Prediction and Picks

Blue Jays vs. Guardians Prediction: Toronto to win

Blue Jays vs. Guardians Picks: Blue Jays ML (-142 at FanDuel) and OVER 6.5 runs (-110 at Caesars Sportsbook)

Along with a pretty sparkling record in one-run games, Toronto has also been outstanding at bouncing back well from losses.

Monday and Tuesday’s losses to the New York Yankees marked the first time this season that the Blue Jays lost consecutive games. They promptly nipped that in the bud by beating the Yankees in the series finale on Wednesday.

For the season, Toronto is 9-1 following a loss, with their .900 win percentage ranking first in the majors. Cleveland counters that pretty well with an 8-3 record after a win–which is also tops in the majors–but we are riding with the better team and the better current pitcher to prevail tonight in Cleveland.

If you are betting on Toronto to win and want to get in on some additional betting value, you can also take the Blue Jays to win by one to three runs (+140 at FanDuel).

For maximum value, you can back exact margins, with a one-run win coming in +440, a two-run win at +600, and a three-run win at +850. Given that 20 of Toronto’s 27 games to date have been decided by one, two, or three runs, and the fact that ten of Cleveland’s 13 losses have come by one, two, or three, there is a lot of backing each of those outcomes over the blanket one-to-three-run bet.

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