Prediction & Best Bet: Cardinals vs Pirates (6/4)

Nate Hornung

Written by: Nate Hornung

Last Updated:

Read Time: 3 minutes

Prediction & Best Bet: Cardinals vs Pirates (6/4) cover


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The St. Louis Cardinals take on the Pittsburgh Pirates in a morning MLB contest. We’ve got our prediction and best bet for today’s matchup!

Let’s breakdown the game!

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Cardinals vs Pirates Game Information

Matchup Information

  • Venue & Location: PNC Park (Pittsburgh, PA)
  • Date: Sunday, June 4th, 2023
  • First Pitch: 11:35am Eastern
  • Broadcast: Peacock

Pitching Matchup

  • St. Louis Cardinals: Miles Mikolas (4-1, 3.75 ERA)
  • Pittsburgh Pirates: Rich Hill (4-5, 4.76 ERA)

Betting Odds

Odds courtesy of BetOnline

50% up to $1,000


  • St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+105)
  • Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 (-125)


  • St. Louis Cardinals -155
  • Pittsburgh Pirates +130


  • Over 9 (+100)
  • Under 9 (-120)

Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction

The Cardinals have already lost this series, losing their previous two games to the Pirates. St. Louis has also lost 4 of their L5, and have not been able to string two wins together since May 20th.

To say they are in a slump would be an understatement. The Cardinals bats still break the Top 10 in most offensive categories, while their pitching does need a little bit of work.

The Pirates offense is nothing too spectacular, but they are on a four game win streak. They also lead the Cardinals in the season series 4-2.

St. Louis will definitely want to turn things around today before heading to Texas for a three game series against the Rangers.

Cardinals vs Pirates Best Bets

Rich Hill over 5.5 Hits Allowed (-105) Caesar’s

Prediction Best Bet Cardinals Pirates Rich Hill

As mentioned, this Cardinals team ranks very high in offensive categories. Rich Hill has allowed at least 6 hits in 7/11 starts this year. He also has starts with 5, 4, and 3 hits allowed.

Now, the Pirates are at home today, but in PNC Park, Hill still allows 6.33 hits per game at home, clearing this line in 4/6 home starts.

Hill is coming off a road start in San Francisco where he gave up 9 hits in just 6 innings pitched. I think the Cardinals bats should have no problem spreading the ball around the field today.

50% up to $1,000

Nolan Gorman over 0.5 Total Bases (-160) BetMGM

Prediction Best Bet Cardinals Pirates Nolan Gorman

This is juicy, obviously, and this line is actually offered at 1.5 for +130 on some books.

Gorman gets at least one base in 70% of games this season, including 71% on the road.

He’s hit this number in 6 of his L10, including 2 straight, both against the Pirates with 2 and 4 total bases the past two night. So far this season, Gorman has hit this in 5 of 6 games against Pittsburgh, including 5 straight. He also cleared 1.5 total bases in 4 of those 5 contests.

Gorman, a lefty, ironically hits better against lefties, and he faces one on the mound today. I think Gorman can knock at least one, maybe two hits for us today.

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Nate Hornung
Nate Hornung

Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.

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