NLCS Game 5, Phillies vs Diamondbacks, Odds & Best Bets: Phils Silence Snakes
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Update: Sat Oct 21, 2023, 1:12 pm ET
Read Time: 3 minutes
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The NLCS is all tied up at 2 games a piece, and the Phillies and Diamondbacks play one more time at Chase Field before heading back to Philadelphia.
We've got Game 5 of the NLCS covered, bringing you our prediction and best bets below for this contest!
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Game Information
Pitching Matchup
- Philadelphia Phillies: Zack Wheeler (2-0, 2.37 ERA)
- Arizona Diamondbacks: Zac Gallen (2-1, 4.96 ERA)
Game Information
- Venue & Location: Chase Field (Phoenix, AZ)
- Date: Saturday, October 21st, 2023
- First Pitch: 8:07pm Eastern
- Broadcast: TBS
Bettings Odds
Runline
- Phillies -1.5 (+130)
- Diamondbacks +1.5 (-150)
MoneyLine
- Phillies -134
- Diamondbacks +112
Total
- Over 8 (-105)
- Under 8 (-115)
MLB Top Picks: Phillies vs Diamondbacks
We know statistically that Zac Gallen is better pitching at Chase Field than anywhere else. Well finally we get to see him do just that in the playoffs, as we get another Zac on Zack matchup, as Wheeler starts for the Phillies.
I think the Phillies bounce back tonight and get to Gallen early. I could be completely wrong and it wouldn't surprise me, but eventually postseason experience has to come into play, right?
There's a player prop that I really love in this game that I will get to, but I'll also be taking the Phillies RL.
At +130, I think the Phillies win this game by 2, head back to Citizens Bank, and head to a second straight World Series in front of their home crowd.
Gimme the Philly Scumbags to silence the Snakes tonight.
The Pick: Phillies -1.5 (+130) Bovada
MLB Player Prop Bets
Bryce Harper over 1.5 Bases (+114) Bovada
For starters, do you even need more of a reason to back Harper in the playoffs?
Secondly, the odds are enough for me. The rest of the market is hanging even money more or less, so +114 and I'll take the stab.
Harper is electric in the playoffs. In 10 games this post season, he's cleared this line in just 3/10, however he's had 5 bases twice and 8 bases when it's happened. He also has a hit in 4 other playoff games.
Now, against Gallen, Harper bats .333 in 13 plate appearances. He also bats .298 against RHP this season.
Now, in his career, Bryce Harper has played 46 playoff games. He has a postseason career average of .282, but he's batting .323 this year with 6 singles and 4 XBH.
In his playoff career, Harper has more extra base hits than he does singles. He's played 46 total games and has 48 total hits. He has 21 singles, 11 doubles, a triple, and 15 home runs.
This guy is built for October baseball.
After going 0/4 the past two nights, I like Harper to come alive tonight.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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