MLB Betting Tips: New York Yankees at Los Angeles Dodgers

Tyler Vaysman

Sunday Night Baseball features a matchup of two of the best records in the league when the New York Yankees (84-47) take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (86-45) at Dodger Stadium. The Yankees, who share the best record in the American League with the Houston Astros, currently hold a commanding eight-game lead over the second-place Tampa Bay Rays in the AL East.

For the Dodgers, the lead is even more impressive, leading the second-place Diamondbacks by 20.5 games. Regardless, in what could be a World Series preview, both teams will be looking for the series win after splitting the first two. On Friday, the Yankees beat the Dodgers 10-2, while Los Angeles took Saturday’s game 2-1.

The pitching matchup for Sunday features Domingo German (16-3, 4.15 ERA) for the Yankees against the Dodgers’ Clayton Kershaw (13-2, 2.71 ERA). First pitch for this contest is scheduled for 7:08 pm ET.

The moneyline for this matchup features the New York Yankees at +150 and the Los Angeles Dodgers at -170. The over/under for runs scored sits at 8.5.

By The Numbers

On offense, these are two of the best in baseball. The Yankees currently rank tops in the big leagues, averaging 5.89 runs per game (6.36 on the road). For the Dodgers, they come in fourth overall, averaging 5.51 runs per game (5.38 at home).

On the pitching side, it is all Dodgers. They rank atop the leaders in earned run average with a staff ERA of 3.39 (2.66 at home). The Yankees fall to 15th overall with a staff ERA of 4.51 (5.38 on the road).

When you put it all together, Los Angeles holds the advantage in run differential. They currently rank first in the major leagues with a run differential of +217, while the Yankees come in third with a run differential of +149.

Yankees Looking To Make Statement

The Yankees would love to make an early statement to the Dodgers by winning this series just in case they were to face each other in the World Series. To try to win the series, the Yanks will look to Domingo German. On the season, German is 16-3 in 21 starts with a 4.15 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and opponents are hitting .234 against him.

In 121 1/3 innings, German has allowed 110 hits, 56 earned runs, 27 home runs and has struck out 131 versus 28 walks. Despite the solid numbers, German has not necessarily gone deep into games as he has averaged fewer than six innings per start throughout the season. Still, with a vaunted bullpen like the Yanks have, that is not necessarily a huge issue.

Third baseman Gio Urshela has been raking over the last month. In those 30 days, he is hitting .429/.455/.762 with eight home runs, 20 runs batted in, and 23 runs scored. Gleyber Torres has also been hitting the ball well in the last month, with 12 home runs and 21 runs batted in. Probably the most consistent hitter throughout the season for the Yankees, though, has been DJ LeMahieu. The second baseman is hitting .330/.377/.525 with 21 home runs, 86 runs batted in and 88 runs scored.

Dodgers Turn To Ace For Series Win

It is always nice when you can turn to your ace in the rubber game of a three-game series; it is even nicer when that ace is Kershaw. On the season, Kershaw is 13-2 in 22 starts with a 2.71 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and opponents are hitting .221 against him. In 143 innings, he has allowed 115 hits, 43 earned runs, 18 home runs and has struck out 147 against 31 walks.

In his last outing, a 16-3 win over the Blue Jays, Kershaw went six innings, allowing six hits, three earned runs, three walks, and six strikeouts. The concerning part of that contest was the three earned runs, which were all earned on three solo home runs. Still, Kershaw is dominant and will look to show it against the Yankees’ lineup.

Offensively, Cody Bellinger continues to be one of the most feared hitters in the league. On the season, he is hitting .314/.410/.658 with 42 home runs, 100 runs batted in and 101 runs scored. He also has 11 stolen bases for good measure.

Justin Turner (23), Max Muncy (33) and Joc Pederson (25) have also shown a home run stroke this year, but Bellinger continues to be the engine that drives the Dodgers’ offense.

Yankees The Value Bet

If I was absolutely forced to choose, it is hard not to like the Dodgers in this one at home with Clayton Kershaw on the bump. Despite that, I am actually putting my money on the Yankees. They are just such a good value bet in this one at +150. Domingo German has been solid this season, and if he can get them through five, a Yankees bullpen that includes the likes of Adam Ottavino, Zach Britton, Tommy Kahnle and Aroldis Chapman seems tough to match up against. German getting through five unscathed is a gamble, but it is one I am willing to take.

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