Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves NLDS Game 3 Preview and Best Bets: How Should You Bet Game 3 in Atlanta?
On the AL side of the MLB postseason bracket, we could see both ALDS matchups come to a cloe today, as the Red Sox and Astros are both a win away from clinching. On the NL side, it’s Game 3 day in Atlanta and Los Angeles, as the Braves host the Brewers and the Dodgers host the Giants. The MLB betting odds for each NLDS game line up well with the odds for each series after splits in Milwaukee and San Francisco.
How should you bet this afternoon’s matchup in Atlanta? We take a look at the odds, the matchup, and more below.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves NLDS Matchup and Odds: Braves Hold Slight Edge Over Brewers After Game 2 Win
Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Game 3 Matchup
- Matchup: Milwaukee Brewers (1-1) vs Atlanta Braves (1-1)
- Time: 1:07 p.m. ET
- TV: TBS
Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves NLDS Game 3 Odds
- Milwaukee Brewers -102
- Atlanta Braves -116
- Over 7.5 (-104)
- Under 7.5 (-118)
- Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+146)
- Atlanta Braves +1.5 (-176)
Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves NLDS Series Odds
- Atlanta Braves -110
- Milwaukee Brewers -106
Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves odds are via FanDuel Sportsbook as of Monday, October 11, 2021 at 12:00 p.m. ET. To compare MLB betting odds from top online sportsbooks, including FanDuel Sportsbook, BetMGM, and more, check out our MLB odds page.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves NLDS Game 3 Matchup and Consensus Picks
- Milwaukee Brewers: Freddy Peralta (10-5, 2.81 ERA)
- Atlanta Braves: Ian Anderson (9-5, 3.58 ERA)
Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Game 3 Betting Picks
- 60% Milwaukee Brewers
- 40% Atlanta Braves
Total (at O/U 8)
- 40% OVER 8
- 60% UNDER 8
Run Line (at -/+1.5)
- 20% Milwaukee Brewers -1.5
- 80% Atlanta Braves +1.5
Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves NLDS Game 3 Betting Breakdown
MLB Betting Trends to Consider for Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Game 3
- In the regular season, the Braves were 36-34 as a home favorite. That record ranked 27th in the league in winning percentage.
- The Brewers posted a 19-12 record as a road underdog during the regular season. That record ranked third in the league in winning percentage.
- When the Braves have been a home favorite, the over has hit over half of the time.
- When the Brewers have been a road underdog, the under has hit over half of the time
Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves NLDS Game 3 Best Bet
Atlanta Braves ML
Anderson missed over a month in July and August due to right shoulder inflammation, but he appears to be hitting his stride at the right time. He is 4-0 with a 3.64 ERA in his last six starts, and in his last three home starts, he is 3-0 with a 2.22 ERA. In the regular season, Anderson made 11 starts at Truist Park, going 5-1 with a 3.52 ERA. His ERA at home is only slightly lower than his road ERA (3.63), but the Braves fared much better in his home starts. In his 11 home starts, they posted a 9-2 record. In his 13 road starts, they posted a 4-9 record.
This isn’t about fading Peralta, who was 5-2 with a 2.70 ERA in 12 road starts in the regular season. He had the second-best road ERA in Milwaukee’s rotation, with only Corbin Burnes (1.94) ahead of him. The value here is on the Braves and Anderson, who was a stud for the Braves in their postseason run last season. Anderson is rounding back into form at the right moment, and Atlanta’s bats have been their most productive at home.
Atlanta could and should be up 2-0 in the series, but they blew a golden opportunity to jump on Burnes in the first inning in Game 1, and one big Rowdy Tellez swing made all the difference later. Look for them to move within a win of a return trip to the NLCS this afternoon.
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