Braves vs Phillies Betting (Sept. 23): Back Philadelphia for Another Home Win Against Atlanta

Devon Platana

The 2022 MLB season is officially in the final stretch as just over two weeks remain on the regular-season schedule. There are several meaningful matchups slated for Friday, Sept. 23, including an NL East showdown between the Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies.

The Braves are looking to rebound after Thursday’s 1-0 loss to the Phillies. Atlanta now sits 1.5 games behind the New York Mets for the NL East lead with 12 games to go, so a victory on Friday night is absolutely crucial for Brian Snitker’s club’s divisional hopes.

Meanwhile, another victory against their rivals would help solidify the Phillies’ spot in the NL Wild Card race. They currently occupy the final wild-card spot, sitting 2.5 games ahead of the Milwaukee Brewers, so another win would further the likelihood of a postseason appearance.

The Braves are sending in Jake Odorizzi as their starting pitcher while the Phillies are countering him with Aaron Nola.

Here’s a look at FanDuel Sportsbook’s odds for tonight’s Braves vs Phillies matchup, as well as a prediction and the best bets to make.

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Odds and Matchup Information

Matchup Information

  • Matchup: Atlanta Braves (93-57, 41-31 road, 2nd in the NL East) vs. Philadelphia Phillies( 82-67, 46-32, 3rd in the AL East)
  • Venue & Location: Citizens Bank Park (Philadelphia, Pennsylvania)
  • Date: Friday, Sept. 23, 2022
  • Time: 7:05 p.m. Eastern Time
  • How to Watch Today’s Braves vs Phillies Game: MLB.TV, MLB Extra Innings, NBC Sports Philadelphia

Braves vs Phillies Pitching Matchup

  • Atlanta Braves: Jake Odorizzi (2022: 19 starts, 5-5, 4.04 ERA)
  • Philadelphia Phillies: Aaron Nola (2022: 29 starts, 9-12, 3.38 ERA)

Braves vs Phillies Odds (Sept. 23, 8:51 a.m. ET)

Odds are via FanDuel. Odds from our other top reviewed and recommended online sportsbooks may also be included in this article.

Moneyline

  • Atlanta Braves +136
  • Philadelphia Phillies -162

Over/Under

  • OVER 7 (-120)
  • UNDER 7 (-102)

Run Line

  • Atlanta Braves +1.5 (-162)
  • Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+134)

Braves vs Phillies Betting Trends

  • Atlanta is 1-4 straight up in its last five road games against Philadelphia.
  • Philadelphia is 5-1 straight up in its last six home games.
  • The total has hit the under in five of Atlanta’s last six road games.
  • The total has hit the under in four of Philadelphia’s last five games against Atlanta.

Braves vs Phillies Prediction and Best Bets

Braves vs Phillies Prediction: Phillies to win

Braves vs Phillies Best Bets: Phillies -1.5 (+134 at FanDuel) & Under 7 (-104 at FanDuel)

The 2022 season series between the Braves and Phillies has been fairly equal, with Atlanta finding victories in nine of the previous 16 matchups.

Having said that, the Braves haven’t performed too well in their recent trips to the City of Brotherly Love, dropping four of their last five games at Citizens Bank Park this season. Making matters worse, the Phillies have outscored the Braves by an average of 6.2 to 3.2 over that five-game stretch.

Beating the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park is something that’s tough for many teams, actually. Philadelphia has won 13 of its last 16 home games this season, so that combined with its success against Atlanta certainly gives the Phillies an edge here.

Something that also works in the Phillies’ favor is the fact that Odorizzi hasn’t played that well lately. While the Braves hurler is 1-1 in his last five starts, he’s given up 13 runs over on 23 hits for a 4.68 ERA, also issuing seven walks and six home runs in that span.

It also helps that Odorizzi has been terrible at Citizens Bank Park in his career. While he’s only made two starts in Philly, neither appearance went well, resulting in five walks and six runs on seven hits over just 5.2 innings for a 9.53 ERA.

Meanwhile, Nola should give the Phillies an advantage on the mound considering how he’s 14-10 with a 3.50 ERA in 29 career starts against the NL East rival. Only time will tell if he can continue that success.

While I expect another close-fought divisional battle, I see the Phillies stepping out with the win again. They’ve had the Braves’ number at Citizens Bank Park, which is a trend I expect to continue.

In addition to a Phillies win, I’m also taking the total hitting under seven runs. After all, the last five Atlanta-Philadelphia meetings have ended with an average total of 5.6 runs.

Devon Platana
Devon Platana