Padres vs Mets Betting Preview: Runs Should Be a Rare Sight as deGrom and Snell Duel in the Big Apple
The Padres vs Mets series is one of the best series of the weekend, and we are getting a top pitching matchup out of the gate. Just look at the total for the game. It’s rare to see a total under 6 for a nine-inning game.
That said, it is not a total surprise. These are the top two pitching teams in the league, and the Mets are still not hitting well despite their recent improvement in the win column.
San Diego has been scuffling a little, but a series win in the Big Apple would be a good get.
San Diego Padres (37-27) vs New York Mets (30-24), MLB Network, 7:10 PM ET
Probable Pitching Matchup
- San Diego Padres: Blake Snell (2-2, 4.63 ERA)
- New York Mets: Jacob deGrom (5-2, 0.62 ERA)
San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Betting Odds
- Moneyline: Padres +144, Mets -172
- Total: OVER 5.5 (-122), UNDER 5.5 (+100)
- Run Line: Padres +1.5 (-170), Mets -1.5 (+140)
Didn’t We Just See This?
These teams did just meet last weekend, splitting four games in San Diego. The Padres have a bit of a quirky schedule right now. Their past 10 games have been against the Cubs and Mets. Unfortunately, they are just 3-7 over that span as the offense has dried up. They are now in third place in the NL West.
Also within that span of games was lefty Blake Snell’s best start since coming to San Diego. It was against the Mets too. Last Friday he held the Mets to just one hit over 7 innings while striking out 10. If he is truly finding the form he had with the Tampa Bay Rays, the Padres will be that much better down the stretch.
For this game, they are going to need Snell to be great because Jacob deGrom usually doesn’t give up much. SS Fernando Tatis Jr. can truly do it all, but asking him to do so every game is tough.
San Diego is one of the better teams in the league, but fading deGrom is tough. The Padres are just 6-8 as an underdog this season.
New York Still On Top in the NL East
The Mets have elite pitching, led by Cy Young favorite and MVP candidate deGrom. It seems like every start of his sets some sort of new record as this season he has truly been better than ever. Like Snell, he also started in last weekend’s series and threw another gem. He pitched 7 shutout innings giving up just three hits. Only once all season has an opponent scored more than one run against him.
New York’s challenge is finding enough runs to support the league’s second-best ERA. New York is just 28th in runs scored this season. They did score 14 in their last game, but that was against the Baltimore Orioles. Normally that is what they might score over the course of a week, sadly.
SS Francisco Lindor has yet to solve the National League. I don’t know if it is the league switch or the big contract, but the Mets are not getting much out of him. Fortunately, 1B Pete Alonso, the Polar Bear, might have found his stroke. He has three homers over the last two games, and the Mets need his power more than ever as stringing together hits has been a challenge.
New York has performed very well at home this season, going 15-5 SU. However, they have found lefties a bit challenging, going just 6-9 against southpaw starters.
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