(6/16) MLB | The Daily Dinger Report — Dinger Tuesday
Written by: Varun Sharma
Last Update: Tue Jun 16, 2026, 3:24 pm ET
Read Time: 4 minutes
mlb
Spread
Total
Moneyline
-1.5
134
10
-104u
-117
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+1.5
-148
9
+100o
+109
Dinger Tuesday is here once again and we've got a HUGE slate of MLB games to choose from.
We've got beautiful conditions all over the country today, but I'm zeroing in on two games.
Fist we've got the Kansas City Royals in the nation's capital to take on the Washington Nationals. Shortly after that begins, the Cincinnati Reds will host the New York Mets at Great America Ballpark.
Weather in both cities is ideal today and I'm looking to take advantage.
The cheat sheet makes it a lot easier when I run through the stats I'm looking at and as always, hit me up on X if you've got more questions.
Dinger Cheat Sheet
- BA — Batting Average
- oBA — Opponent Batting Average
- xBA — Expected BA
- SLG — Slugging Percentage
- ISO — Isolated Power
- wOBA — Weighted On-Base Average
- HH% — Hard Hit Rate
- BRL% — Barrel Rate
- HR/9 — Home Runs per 9 innings
- XBH — Extra Base Hit
- RBI — Runs Batted In
Dinger Counter: 5-9; +6.2 units
Today's Dingers
Nathaniel Lowe Home Run (+420) | Lucky Rebel
Let's start off by taking a trip to Great America Ballpark. Weather's in the mid 60s, winds blowing out toward center field at nearly 8 mph and we've got Kodai Senga on the bump for the Mets.
Senga's been bad this year. He's started 5 games so far, he's posted 9.00 ERA and he's allowing opposing hitters to hit .325 with a near .600 SLG. He's given up 5 home runs across just 20 innings of work and he's allowing lefties to hit .375 on the year.
Senga's been bad, but even worse against lefties. His SLG allowed jumps to .625 against left handed bats and he's giving up a HH of 45.2%.
Lowe's been incredible at home this year, with 8 of his 9 home runs coming here in Cincinnati and a .620 SLG. All 9 of his home runs have come against right handed pitching and he's batting .293 against them this year.
Senga's been bad this year and Lowe's yet to hit a home run this month. Feels like he's due and tonight's the perfect night to do it.
Bobby Witt Jr. Home Run (+370) | Lucky Rebel
Bobby Witt Jr. has been incredible this year and there's a reason he's got the third best odds to win this year's American League MVP Award.
Witt's got just 9 home runs this year, but he's hitting .284 on the season while leading his team in both hits and runs scored. His 9 home runs leads the Royals, but for the first time since his rookie year; his SLG has dropped below .495.
Witt's been great this year, but a little unlucky. He's got a xwOBA of .384 and an xSLG of .511. He's got a 52.1% HH and that jumps to 60.3% against left handed pitchers.
Witt's batting .313 against lefties this year with a .516 SLG. He's got a 15.5% BRL against left handed pitchers and tonight in Washington D.C.; I think he sends one over the fence.
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