ALCS Game 7: Rangers vs Astros, Prediction: Winner Takes All in Houston

Nate Hornung

Written by: Nate Hornung

Last Update: Mon Oct 23, 2023, 1:01 pm ET

Read Time: 3 minutes

ALCS Game 7: Rangers vs Astros, Prediction: Winner Takes All in Houston cover

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Houston Astros

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See Picks & Statistics For The Game

It all ends tonight. One team from the state of Texas books their ticket to the 2023 World Series tonight, as the Rangers take on the Astros in Game 7 of the ALCS.

Let's breakdown this winner takes all contest!

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Rangers vs Astros Game Information

Pitching Matchup

  • Texas Rangers: Max Scherzer (0-1, 11.25 ERA)
  • Houston Astros: Cristian Javier (2-0, 1.69 ERA)

Game Information

  • Venue & Location: Minute Maid Park (Houston, TX)
  • Date: Monday, October 23rd, 2023
  • First Pitch: 8:03pm Eastern
  • Broadcast: FOX

Bettings Odds

Odds Courtesy of Bovada

Runline

  • Rangers +1.5 (-175)
  • Astros -1.5 (+150)

MoneyLine

  • Rangers +108
  • Astros -130

Total

  • Over 9 (-105)
  • Under 9 (-115)

MLB Top Picks: Rangers vs Astros

Prediction ALCS Game 7 Rangers vs Astros

Max Scherzer takes the bump for Texas tonight in his 24th career postseason start. He has a 7-8 record with a 3.80 ERA, however he is 1-0 this playoff campaign.

He gave up 5 Earned Runs on 5 Hits in just 4 innings, but was able to walk away with a win, but his history in the playoffs isn't encouraging.

The past two seasons, he's made 2 playoff starts. In just 8.2 combined innings, Scherzer has allowed 12 ER on 12 hits, including 5 HR.

This just makes me heavily lean with the hometown Astros tonight.

The Pick: Astros -1.5 (+163) BetOnline

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MLB Player Props: Rangers vs Astros

Yordan Alvarez over 1.5 Total Bases (+125) Bovada

Prediction ALCS Game 7 Rangers vs Astros

Here's a guy I would not want to face in the playoffs.

In 13 games against Texas, Alvarez has 2+ Bases in 10/13 games, including 5 straight. He's cleared in 5/7 at home against Texas, including 10 total bases in his L2 games.

This postseason, Alvarez is batting .436 with 17 hits, 6 HR and 14 RBIs. He's knocked 8 of those hits for extra bases, and he's built for this moment.

In this winner takes all game, I lean with Houston based on experience, and I trust these guys that have been in this situation before to take over and come to pay tonight.

Alvarez bats .500 against Scherzer with a single, a HR and a walk.

He's had 2+ hits in 5 straight games, and I think he continues that streak tonight at home.

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Nate Hornung
Nate Hornung

Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.

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