The Finale: Game 5 — Expert Picks for the WNBA Finals (10/21)
Written by: Varun Sharma
Last Update: Mon Oct 26, 2026, 4:39 pm ET
Read Time: 4 minutes
wnba
Spread
Total
Moneyline
-1.0
-110
150.5
-105u
-117
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+1.5
-110
150.5
-110o
+100
We're back for Game 5 of the WNBA Finals between the Atlanta Dream and Golden State Valkyries. The series is tied at 2-games a piece. it's got everything you want in Championship Series.
We've had blown leads, big comebacks, big performances and a whole lot of bad blood. These two teams don't like each other and it couldn't be more clear to everyone watching.
After back to back wins, the Dream came out flat in Game 4. The team shot just 33% from the field, turned the ball over 18 times and shot just 71% from the free throw line.
On the other side, the Valkyries came to play. Golden State jumped out to a 16-point first half lead, won the turnover battle, the rebounding battle and they dominated the paint.
This is now a best-of-3; no more room for mistakes.
Let's jump right into Game 5 of the WNBA Finals.
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Game Information
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Matchup Information
- Location: Chase Center; San Francisco, Califonia
- Date: Monday, October 26th, 2026
- Tipoff: 8:00 PM EST
Leading Scorer Matchup (Postseason)
- Golden State Valkyries: Gabby Williams (20.8 PPG | 4.2 RPG | 3.8 APG)
- Atlanta Dream: Angel Reese (18.1 PPG | 10.1 RPG | 2.1 APG)
Last 5 Games
ATL
Result
ATS
Total
vs GS
L67 - 62
L-5.0
153.5
vs GS
W71 - 97
W-4.5
153.5
@ GS
W79 - 65
W+1.5
153
@ GS
L64 - 68
L+2.5
152
@ NY
W85 - 83
W+3.0
172
GS
Result
ATS
Total
@ ATL
W67 - 62
W+5.0
153.5
@ ATL
L71 - 97
L+4.5
153.5
vs ATL
L79 - 65
L-1.5
153
vs ATL
W64 - 68
W-2.5
152
@ LV
W87 - 77
W+8.5
156
Game 5 Best Bets
Kiah Stokes o9.5 Rebounds (+100) | Lucky Rebel
It sounds incredibly repetitive, but Kiah Stokes continues to make us money and she's the only answer the Valkyries have against Angel Reese.
Stokes is playing just 28.1 minutes per game in this series, but she's cleared this line in 3 of the 4 games with 11+ rebounds in each of those games. Stokes has been the Valkyries best defender, she's the anchor of this defense and she's averaging 3.5 blocks per game through the first 4 games.
She's only played fewer than 30 minutes in the two games decided by double digits, her minutes have lined up almost exactly with Reese and we've seen her climb from 6.5 all the way to the 9.5 it sits at now.
Oddsmakers are very aware of her impact on the game and with tonight being such a big game; I've got to go back.
Angel Reese o11.5 Rebounds (-114) | Lucky Rebel
Speaking of going back, I'm going right back to Reese. She's cashed her line in every game we've bet on her in this series, but she's coming off her worst of the series. Reese scored 8 points, grabbed 9 rebounds and shot just 17% from the field.
She was 2/12 from floor, 4/6 from the free throw line and she turned the ball over 6 times.
The Dream finished the game with 16 turnovers that lead to 16 points the other way. The team was out-rebounded, gave up more points in the paint and lost the game despite shooting 18 more free throws than the Valkyries.
Atlanta had a chance to take a 3-1 lead back to the Bay and they blew it. Tonight they don't have the same luxury, a loss tonight means a trip back to Atlanta for a potential final game.
If the Dream hope to stop that, they'll need Reese to be better and they'll need her to play like she did in Games 1-3. Reese was averaging 21.3 points and 12.3 rebounds per game in the first 3 games, even grabbing a total of 11 offensive rebounds in a 3-game span.
That's the Angel Reese the Dream need tonight in San Francisco.
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