Spain vs. Belgium Picks and Predictions: July 10, 2026
Written by: Nate Hornung
Published: Fri Jul 10, 2026, 10:32 am ET
Read Time: 5 minutes
FIFA World Cup
Spread
Total
Moneyline
-1.0
104
2
+115u
-163
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+1.0
-120
2
-122o
+525
Yesterday France and Morocco kicked off our 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals as the French successfully moved on to their third straight World Cup semifinal. Now Kylian Mbappe and France find out who they face next Tuesday, as Spain and Belgium go head to head at SoFi Stadium this afternoon. Spain has yet to allowed a goal in this tournament, and Belgium has looked like one of the best in the entire world over the last 120 minutes on the pitch. Do they have what it takes to upset the 2024 EURO Champions? Find out below with our favorite picks.
Check out the best odds on the market and tons of picks in different soccer leagues across the world.
Spain vs. Belgium FIFA World Cup Betting Insights
Romelu Lukaku and Belgium take on Spain in the World Cup Quarterfinals this afternoon in Los Angeles
Spain made the wrong kind of headlines early in this tournament when they failed to beat Cape Verde in their group stage opener. Despite 2.10 expected goals and seven shots on target, they were held scoreless. But then we saw them snap out of it, stringing together four straight shutout victories. Will anyone be able to stand in their way?
Belgium did not look good in their first two group matches, and also struggled for about 85 minutes against Senegal in the Round of 32. But they dominated New Zealand when they had to in order to win the group, they had a miraculous comeback in the opening knockout round, and then they annihilated the United States in the Round of 16. Can they keep their momentum rolling against one of the betting favorites to win this entire tournament?
Matchup Information – Spain vs. Belgium – July 10
- Venue & Location: SoFi Stadium (Inglewood, CA)
- Date: Friday, July 10, 2026
- Kick Off: 3:00 p.m. Eastern
- Broadcast: FOX/Peacock
Spain vs. Belgium Betting Odds
Odds are courtesy of our friends at Lucky Rebel Sportsbook, as of July 10, 2026, at 9:43 a.m. eastern. Sign up today and get a $1,250 deposit bonus as well as 50 slot spins immediately in your account and start betting at the sportsbook with the most competitive odds in the industry, and a wide variety of unique markets not offered anywhere else.
Moneyline
- Spain -162
- Draw +295
- Belgium +460
To Advance
- Spain -345
- Belgium +260
Spread
- Spain -1 (+105)
- Belgium +1 (-125)
Total
- Over 2.5 (-128)
- Under 2.5 (+107)
Spain vs. Belgium FIFA World Cup Picks
Dani Olmo and Spain are one win away from the World Cup Semifinals, where they haven't been since winning it all in 2010
Best Bet: Spain ML/Under 3.5 (+140) Lucky Rebel Sportsbook
You could take this same game parlay up to 4.5 total goals and get right around even money, but I do not see this getting out of hand. Belgium will certainly come to play defensively, but I don't see them contributing on offense, and because of this, I also endorse Spain to win to nil at +178.
Spain has yet to concede a goal in this tournament, and I do not see them stopping now. Even though Belgium's offense has decided to show up over the last few matches, facing Spain's back line will be their toughest test in this tournament. They held their first four opponents to under 0.32 expected goals throughout their matches. Even against Portugal, they only allowed 0.63 xG while creating 1.69 of their own, while winning the match 1-0.
Belgium's momentum will come to a close this afternoon as they run into the brick wall that is Spain. Hopefully Spain's offense doesn't make us sweat the entire match to cash like we had to against Portugal. But regardless, the Spanish should win a low scoring match to set up a date with France in the World Cup Semifinals.
Prediction: Spain Wins 1-0 (+625)
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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