Humpday Best Bets on the Pitch: Expert Soccer Picks & Predictions (9/30)
Written by: Nate Hornung
Published: Wed Sep 30, 2026, 10:28 am ET
Read Time: 5 minutes
MLS
While we are still in the midst of an international break in the soccer world, there is still plenty of action on Wednesday's slate. There are several UEFA Women's Champions League matches, as well as some other smaller leagues and tons of international friendlies. However, as always, I will stick with what I know. We have a standalone MLS contest on the East Coast tonight, as the New York Red Bulls host St. Louis City SC. Now keep in mind, some personnel will be missing from both squads due to the international break, but nevertheless, our analysts bring you their expert soccer picks in this match.
- MLS YTD
- 34-33-7 (50.8%)
- +2.19u
- Average Odds: +112
Head over to our Soccer Picks Page for our expert's soccer analysis, or read my best bets below.
Soccer Expert Picks: Wednesday's Predictions September 30
Emil Forsberg has seven assists for the Red Bulls, leading the team this season
New York Red Bulls vs. St. Louis City SC Matchup Information
- Venue & Location: Sports Illustrated Stadium (Harrison, NJ)
- Kick Off: 7:30 p.m. Eastern
- Broadcast: Apple TV
New York Red Bulls vs. St. Louis City SC Betting Odds
Odds courtesy of BetOnline as of Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 9:51 a.m. eastern.
Money Line
- New York Red Bulls +250
- Draw +327
- St. Louis City SC -106
Spread
- New York Red Bulls +0.5 (-115)
- St. Louis City CS -0.5 (-106)
Total
- Over 3.5 (+105)
- Under 3.5 (-135)
The Red Bulls will be missing one of their key pieces in leading scorer Julian Hall, who has 10 goals through 26 appearances. The 18 year old got called up to play with Cavan Sullivan and the United States Men's National Team for their friendlies. Good. I think that is phenomenal, because these kids are going to be in a prime position to succeed in the World Cup in 2030. It's great that Pochettino is getting them senior team minutes before hand, adding comfortability and confidence to their game.
However, that certainly hurts the hosts in this one. Are they completely out of it? Of course not. But considering where these teams are on the table, it's an easy pick for me.
Expert MLS Picks – New York Red Bulls vs. St. Louis City SC
Simon Becher has seven goals for St. Louis City since they returned from the World Cup break
Best Bet: St. Louis City SC ML (-106) BetOnline
Even on the road, I will back St. Louis here. They are playing way too well to fade at the moment, and they have the much fuller squad compared to the Red Bulls. St. Louis currently sits in fifth place of the Western Conference, tied with the Houston Dynamo at 44 points but with a match in hand. A win tonight would actually propel them above Houston and San Jose in points, placing them tied with FC Dallas for second place in the conference. However, they would have the nod on goal differential over that team from Texas.
While they have not quite locked up a playoff spot, a win tonight would put them in a really good position with just seven matches to go. As for the Red Bulls, they currently sit in eighth place in the East. Yes, that is good for a playoff spot. The problem, is that they are tied with New York City, and FC Cincinnati on points. They are also down on goal differential to those teams, but as of right now, they are ahead with one more win on their record. Motivation should be there from both sides, which makes me lean towards a low scoring game.
Ultimately, I think St. Louis will be able to flex their muscle for a cheap win on the road, stealing three points that the Red Bulls desperately need. It was a poorly timed international break for New York, and I think they suffer the consequences tonight at home.
Prediction: St. Louis City Wins 2-1 (+750)
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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