With two of the NFL’s highest-scoring teams set to face off for the Lombardi Trophy on February 12, will we see a recent Super Bowl over/under trend come to an end this year?

In the 2022 regular season, the AFC champion Kansas City Chiefs led the NFL in scoring at 29.2 points per game. Not far down the table are the NFC champion Philadelphia Eagles, who finished third behind the Chiefs and Buffalo Bills (28.4 PPG) at 28.1 PPG.

But does this mean we’re going to see the over hit at State Farm Stadium? If it does hit, it will be the first over in the big game since Super Bowl LII.

As it happens, that was the Eagles’ previous Super Bowl appearance, as they stunned the New England Patriots in Minneapolis. Since then, there have been four straight unders.

Let’s take a look at this year’s Super Bowl over/under odds and recent total trends.

Super Bowl Over/Under Odds for 2023

Odds are as of Sunday, February 12, 2023.

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Super Bowl Over/Under History

In the first Super Bowl, there was no posted total. But based on the fact that only one total was no more than 43 in any of the first 15 Super Bowls, we can call Green Bay’s 35-10 win over the Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl I an over in spirit.

After a win for the over in the Packers’ 33-14 win over the Raiders in Super Bowl II the next year, unders dominated for the next decade.

It wasn’t until the late 1970s and early 1980s that there was an uptick in scoring. And with it came a rise in Super Bowl betting totals.

Since a run of 12 consecutive totals under 40 from Super Bowl IV to Super Bowl XV, the Super Bowl over/under has been below 40 only four times in over four decades.

All-Time Super Bowl Over/Under History

• Super Bowl Over/Under History: 27-28-0
• Longest Over Streak: Four (Super Bowl XIX to Super Bowl XXII)
• Longest Under Streak: Seven (Super Bowl III to Super Bowl IX)
• Highest Super Bowl Betting Total: 57.5 (Super Bowl LIII, 2019)
• Lowest Super Bowl Betting Total: 33 (Super Bowl VII, Super Bowl VIII & Super Bowl IX)
• Highest Super Bowl Game Total: 75 (Super Bowl XXIX – San Francisco 49ers 49, San Diego Chargers 26)
• Lowest Super Bowl Game Total: 16 (Super Bowl LIII – New England Patriots 13, Los Angeles Rams 3)

Recent Super Bowl Over/Under Results

2022 (SBLVI) – Los Angeles Rams vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Total: 49.5

Result: Rams 23, Bengals 20 (Over/Under Result: UNDER 49.5)

With just under six minutes left in the third quarter, over bettors might have been feeling rather hopeful, as the Bengals held a 20-16 lead over the Rams.

But from that point, there would be only one scoring play, which was Matthew Stafford’s decisive touchdown pass to Cooper Kupp with 1:25 left in the fourth quarter.

2021 (SBLV) – Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Total: O/U 56

Result: Bucs 31, Chiefs 9 (Over/Under Result: UNDER 56)

Entering last year’s Super Bowl, the Chiefs had scored 31+ points in six of seven playoff games with Mahomes. But Tampa Bay’s defense kept Mahomes and Kansas City’s offense out of the end zone all night, which was the first time that had occurred in his NFL career.

As a result, this game finished far short of its total.

2020 (SBLIV) – San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Total: O/U 54.5

Result: Chiefs 31, 49ers 20 (Over/Under Result: UNDER 54.5)

Super Bowl LIV came far closer to hitting its total than Super Bowl LIII did, but it was on its way to being a fairly low-scoring game. But trailing 20-10 in the fourth quarter, Mahomes and the Chiefs scored three straight touchdowns over a five-minute period to rally and seal their first championship in 50 years.

Unfortunately for over bettors, the Super Bowl over/under still fell short of the over.

2019 (SBLIII) – New England Patriots vs. Los Angeles Rams

Total: O/U 57.5

Result: Patriots 13, Rams 3 (Over/Under Result: UNDER 57.5)

Super Bowl LIII had the highest total in Super Bowl history but ended up being the lowest-scoring Super Bowl ever. In an unforgettably forgettable (or is it forgettably unforgettable?) matchup in Atlanta, the Patriots scored the only touchdown of the game midway through the fourth quarter.

2018 (SBLII) – Philadelphia Eagles vs. New England Patriots

Total: O/U 49

Result: Eagles 41, Patriots 33 (Over/Under Result: OVER 49)

In a wild game in Minneapolis, the over hit with over three minutes remaining in the third quarter. When all was said and done, Super Bowl MVP Nick Foles prevailed in the second-highest scoring Super Bowl of all time.

Super Bowl Over/Under Trends

If the Super Bowl total closes at 50 or higher, which it is on track to do, it will be the 14th 50+ total in the history of the big game.

History says that would be a good thing for under bettors, as the under is 9-4-0 in the previous instances in which there was a total of 50 or higher.

The first 50+ total happened in Super Bowl XIX, when the matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Miami Dolphins closed at 53.5. The over hit as the 49ers won 38-16, with all of the points being scored in the first 38 minutes, 42 seconds of the game.

Of the last eight times there has been a Super Bowl total of 50 or higher, the only time the over hit was in Super Bowl LI, which fans of the Atlanta Falcons may still be traumatized by.

In that game, the total was 57.5–a Super Bowl record–and it hit with James White’s game-winning touchdown in overtime to finish the biggest comeback in Super Bowl history and give the New England Patriots a 34-28 win.

Since the AFL-NFL merger in 1970, the NFC has been favored in the Super Bowl 23 times prior to this year’s big game. In those 22 games, the under is 12-11.

However, all 11 overs have happened in the past 18 games, as the under had a five-win head start.

Other Super Bowl Content at Betting News

If you’d like to check out our other Super Bowl betting content, here’s a rundown of what we have put together to help you with your Super Sunday selections.

• Super Bowl Point Spread Odds & History
• Super Bowl Player Props Odds & Best Bets
• Super Bowl First Score Odds & History
• Super Bowl First & Anytime Touchdown Picks
• Super Bowl MVP Odds, History & Best Bets
• Top Super Bowl LVII Prop Bets
• Super Bowl Score Predictions
• National Anthem Over/Under Odds
• Halftime Show Odds
• Coin Toss Odds
• Gatorade Color Odds
• Super Bowl Cross Sport Bets
• Super Bowl Commercial Bets

Super Bowl Over/Under FAQ