Super Bowl LXI Predictions: 2026 NFL Futures Odds & Picks

NFL teams are about to report for training camp, and it's the perfect time to hunt for value on the betting streets. There are some Super Bowl odds way down on the betting board priced far too generously. Let's dive into my best Super Bowl picks and find some value before the 2026 NFL season starts!

Check out the best odds on the market at our top online sportsbooks.

Super Bowl LXI Odds

Notable Super Bowl LXI odds via Lucky Rebel

• Los Angeles Rams +500

• Baltimore Ravens +1200

• Buffalo Bills +1200

• Seattle Seahawks +1200

• San Francisco 49ers +1400

• Kansas City Chiefs +1600

• Denver Broncos +1800

• Los Angeles Chargers +1800

• Detroit Lions +2000

• Houston Texans +2000

• New England Patriots +2000

• Philadelphia Eagles +2000

• Cincinnati Bengals +2200

• Dallas Cowboys +2200

• Chicago Bears +2500

• Green Bay Packers +2500

• Jacksonville Jaguars +2800

• Indianapolis Colts +5000

• Minnesota Vikings +5000

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers +5500

• Washington Commanders +5500

• New York Giants +6500

• Pittsburgh Steelers +7500

Super Bowl LXI Picks

Here are two dark-horse picks and a pair of longshots:

• Denver Broncos (+1800)
• Dallas Cowboys (+2200)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+5500)
• Tennessee Titans (+12500)

Denver Broncos | +1800 (Lucky Rebel Sportsbook)

Denver has a whole lot going for it. People will probably be torn on Bo Nix forever, but the pieces around him are quietly impressive. The receiving corps is a deep, underrated group of young playmakers — beyond Courtland Sutton, there's Troy Franklin, Pat Bryant, and Marvin Mims.

Additionally, the team made a real splash by signing former Dolphins' standout Jaylen Waddle. The offensive line stays intact, which matters, and the one real question mark is the backfield.

That running back room is messy on paper for fantasy football purposes, but that doesn't really matter in real life. RJ Harvey had an underwhelming rookie campaign, but he reportedly poured himself into film study this offseason. J.K. Dobbins is coming off an injury (a tale as old as time), the Broncos spent fourth-round capital on Jonah Coleman in this year's draft, and Jaleel McLaughlin remains a nice depth piece. There's enough there to piece together production.

The defense, of course, is the backbone. Patrick Surtain headlines the secondary, Nik Bonitto anchors the pass rush, and while losing John Franklin-Myers will sting, this is still a nasty unit. Add in Sean Payton and a strong staff, and Denver is exceptionally hard to beat at Mile High. The Broncos will be a tough out if they can manage to host a playoff game or two in Colorado.

Here's the stat that stuck with me. Per Sumer Sports, only two teams last season finished top 10 in both offensive EPA per play and defensive EPA per play — the Los Angeles Rams, this year's Super Bowl favorite, and, spoiler alert, the Denver Broncos.

I'll admit I'm not the biggest Bo Nix truther, but the foundation Denver has built is legit. At +1800, I don't mind taking a crack.

Dallas Cowboys | +2200 (Lucky Rebel Sportsbook)

I know, I know. Betting on the Cowboys to hoist a Lombardi feels like a punchline after two-plus decades of failure. But set the franchise's postseason baggage aside for a second, because the roster Dallas has assembled over the last calendar year deserves a longer look than the reputation suggests.

The defense is where everyone bails, so let's confront it head-on. Yes, this unit ranked dead last in the NFL in EPA per play allowed a season ago. There's no spinning that. What the raw ranking hides, though, is a team that looked like two completely different defenses.

Through the first half, Dallas was getting gashed for north of 140 rushing yards per game and sat at the very bottom of the league in stuff rate. From Week 10 on, it flipped entirely. The Cowboys owned the fourth-best stuff percentage in football (per Fantasy Points) and the ninth-stingiest rushing defense by yards allowed per game.

Quinnen Williams, acquired from the Jets at last year's deadline, anchors the interior. Dealing Micah Parsons ahead of the 2025 campaign was painful, but getting Kenny Clark back in the deal kept the trenches strong. Add Rashan Gary — who posted 7.5 sacks in each of his last two healthy years in Green Bay — and the front seven suddenly has real teeth.

Dallas Rookies Will Provide a Spark

The rookie class can pay dividends immediately. Caleb Downs is one of the most polished, plug-and-play defenders in the entire 2026 class who brings a rare floor-ceiling blend, while 23rd overall pick Malachi Lawrence gives the group even more youthful upside.

Meanwhile, the case is easier to see on the offensive side of things. Dallas finished top five in offensive EPA per play last season, and I'd still argue Dak Prescott is among the most disrespected quarterbacks in the league. The backfield revelation Javonte Williams graded out as a bulldozer in terms of yards after contact, and the pass-catching corps runs deeper than people give it credit for. Beyond CeeDee Lamb and a George Pickens situation that just needs a contract resolution, Dak has weapons in Marquez Valdes-Scantling, KaVontae Turpin, and Ryan Flournoy to keep defenses stretched thin.

So tally it up: a top-five offense, a defense that visibly transformed down the stretch, and — I'd contend — fewer health and roster-turnover concerns than any of the other three NFC East clubs.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +5500 (Lucky Rebel Sportsbook)

Half of the battle in the NFL is simply getting into the big dance. If you have a chance to win your division and guarantee yourself a home playoff game, that's a pretty big leg up — and I think Tampa Bay is in a nice position to do exactly that, even after losing future Hall of Famer Mike Evans.

The Bucs kept continuity with Baker Mayfield at the helm, Emeka Egbuka should get more freedom in his sophomore campaign after battling injuries down the stretch, and Chris Godwin will have had a full offseason to get back into football shape.

The defense still leaves a little to be desired, but the acquisition of Rueben Bain Jr. off the edge is exactly what this unit needed, and Antoine Winfield Jr. is still manning the secondary. You could do a lot worse than taking the Buccaneers at a really big number. Honestly, you'll be hard-pressed to find a more reasonable division-winner candidate priced this generously anywhere in the league.

Tennessee Titans | +12500 (Lucky Rebel Sportsbook)

No, this one isn't just for our content director SPJ, but the Titans at a massive number are too fun to ignore. Listen, the AFC South is what it is — there are question marks about every team in it.

The Colts are banking on Daniel Jones, who would have been a question mark on his own even before you factor in that he's coming off a season-ending injury with such a small sample of decent play. And I still have my doubts about the Colts buying into him so quickly and mortgaging the farm for Sauce Gardner.

Shane Steichen has proven to be an awesome offensive mind, but he might be facing an uphill battle. Michael Pittman Jr. is gone, and there's real uncertainty over whether Alec Pierce will be ready to roll Week 1 after an offseason procedure. Josh Downs and Tyler Warren might be forced to do some very heavy lifting while the box is loaded up against Jonathan Taylor.

Then you've got the Texans, who look like a serious threat on paper — until you get back to the quarterback position. What is C.J. Stroud going to give you in a big game against a tough defense? The game seems to move pretty fast for him in those moments, and I need to see it before I believe it.

Of the teams not named the Titans, I'm most intrigued by the Jacksonville Jaguars. I love what Liam Coen does offensively. They have a wealth of weapons at receiver (especially with the emergence of Parker Washington), and the defense is solid. Trevor Lawrence finally strung together a high level of football into the postseason last year; whether that sticks or was a high-end anomaly remains to be seen.

Brian Daboll: The Titans' Biggest Catch

Anyway, the Titans don't need to win the division. They sure have their work cut out for them, but I expect them to be leaps and bounds better than last year. They spent big and arguably made the most personnel changes in the NFL. Adding Carnell Tate and Wan'Dale Robinson to the top of the receiving room is a massive upgrade, and the biggest ace in the hole is bringing in Brian Daboll to reshape the offense.

Cam Ward already said publicly that he wishes he knew last year what Daboll already taught him in a few months. That certainly makes you wonder what Brian Callahan and company were really doing behind the scenes. Ward has prided himself on wearing his heart on his sleeve and saying what he means, so I put some stock in that.

The Titans also snagged John Franklin-Myers from Denver — the same loss we touched on with the Broncos — as they revamped an entire secondary. I've seen weirder things happen; it's the NFL, and maybe Tennessee has a Panthers-type emergence when the dust settles.

It's not like they got blown out every week in 2025. They had five one-possession losses on their resume. There were flashes, and I think they'll be drastically improved. That could mean five or six wins. But if the ball breaks their way, nine is a reasonable ceiling, and that might be enough to sneak into a wild-card slot.

This is just a dabble of a wager, but the value is in the volatility. This one might be better off as a contract trade on another platform. If things look good later in the year, you can sell some shares, lock in a profit or break even at worst, and let the free shares ride to see what happens.

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