Can’t Miss Player Props for Week 7 — NFL Expert Picks & Predictions (10/25)
Written by: Varun Sharma
Published: Sat Oct 24, 2026, 8:10 am ET
Read Time: 5 minutes
nfl
Spread
Total
Moneyline
-2.0
-120
50
-105u
-145
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+2.5
100
49.5
-110o
+130
Beautiful looking slate this week for Week 7. Big time matchups across the board, high totals and good weather in nearly every game.
Without wasting more time, let's jump right into my 3 favorite props this week.
For additional information on picks, props, moneylines, and more on today's slate, take a look at our NFL Picks Page or our NFL Odds Page.
Best Bets for Week 7
- Garrett Wilson o62.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
- Drake London o79.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
- Kenneth Walker o81.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
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Garrett Wilson o62.5 Receiving Yards (-112) | Lucky Rebel
This sounds crazy to say, but Geno Smith is probably the best QB that Garrett Wilson's ever played with. 'Post-achilles' Rodgers wasn't the same in New York, we can't count him.
Wilson's averaging 5.8 receptions per game, he's got 418 total receiving yards and 3 touchdowns. He's seeing a 28% target share this year, 35% 1st read target share and averaging 2.3 yards per route run (YPRR).
Wilson's average depth of target is 10.6 yards and he's accounted for 31% of his team's receiving yards share.
The Miami Dolphins are bad this year. They are 0-6, giving up 26.4 points per game (24th) and scoring just 14 per game (31st). The Dolphins have not generated much of a pass rush this year, despite blitzing at a top-3 rate in the NFL.
Geno Smith's been fantastic from a clean pocket this year and he's handled the blitz incredibly well. Against the blitz, Geno's completing 67% of his passes, averaging 8.78 yards per attempt with 4 touchdowns, 1 interception and a passer rating of 111.4.
From a clean pocket, he's completing 71% of his passes, averaging 7.25 yards per attempt and he's got 5 touchdowns with no interceptions. Wilson's been Geno's favorite receiver this year, averaging 3.5 YPRR against the blitz and 0.35 targets per route run against the blitz.
Drake London o79.5 Receiving Yards (-120) | Lucky Rebel
Drake London saw 10 targets last week, caught just 4 balls for 62 yards and was held under 95 yards for the first time since Penix's return. Last week the Falcons looked uncomfortable against Chicago and it showed in how they played.
Michael Penix Jr. threw for 225 yards, completed just 58% of his passes but did have a season high 3 touchdown passes. On the year, Penix is averaging 236.0 pass yards per game and this week the Falcons will host the beat up San Francisco 49ers.
The 49ers are still without Nick Bosa, but over the last two weeks they didn't really need him. The Niners recorded 9 sacks over their last two games and while it was against two really bad OLs, it's still impressive.
That being said, this Atlanta OL is a lot better than the previous two. The Falcons' OL ranks 13th in pass block efficiency, they've allowed about half the amount of pressures and if they can keep Penix upright; the offense should put up points.
London and Penix's connection can't be ignored. Just this season, with Penix under center, London's target share jumps to 32.7% from 19.6% without Penix.
In their last 17 games together, with Penix as his QB; London's target share stays at a steady 35%. He's averaging 0.31 targets per route run (TPRR) and 4.05 YPRR.
The Niners also run the the 9th highest rate of zone coverage, with a majority of that being cover-3 or cover-1 (1-Hi). Going back to last year, London's averaging the 3rd highest TPRR against zone, he's 3rd in YPRR versus zone and 5th versus 1-Hi.
Kenneth Walker o81.5 Rushing Yards (-114) | Lucky Rebel
Last prop and while this one's also a good matchup; I'm here for the revenge narrative.
Kenneth Walker was in a contract year last year and he did (literally) everything he could to earn the next one. Walker's just 26 years old, he's got 2 1,000-yard seasons (2022/2025) and he's fresh off a Super Bowl win and Super Bowl MVP.
Despite all of that, Walker didn't get the offer he wanted and he walked. The Seahawks moved on. They drafted Jadarian Price in the 1st round of this year's NFL Draft and the plan was to use him alongside Zach Charbonet to fill the hole left by Walker.
That's not how it's worked out. Charbonet has yet to suit up this year, Price is currently on the IR and Emmanuel Wilson currently sits as the team's RB1.
Walker now returns to the city where he started his NFL career. He returns to the team he won a Super Bowl with and the team that let him walk. He's got a chance to make them eat their words and I, for one; can't wait.
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