Sunday Night Football: Dolphins vs Patriots, Prediction: Former-Bama QBs Face Off in Gillette
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Update: Sun Sep 17, 2023, 10:02 am ET
Read Time: 4 minutes
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We've got a battle of the AFC East on Sunday Night as the Miami Dolphins travel north to face the New England Patriots in Foxborough.
The Patriots one the last meeting between these teams, winning 23-21 in Foxborough in January. However, prior to that, Miami had won the last four meetings between these division rivals.
Former Alabama teammates face off today as Mac Jones looks to get the home victory against Tua Tagovailoa.
Let's break this game down!
Dolphins vs Patriots Game Information
Matchup Information
- Venue & Location: Gillette Stadium (Foxborough, MA)
- Date: Sunday, September 17th, 2023
- Kick Off: 8:20pm Eastern
- Broadcast: NBC
Betting Odds
Spread
- Dolphins -2.5 (-110)
- Patriots +2.5 (-110)
Moneyline
- Dolphins -145
- Patriots +125
Total
- Over 46 (-110)
- Under 46 (-110)
Best NFL Bets Today
Am I crazy for leaning under in this game? Probably.
The Dolphins threw for 466 yards last week and hardly ran the ball. With Tua and their speedy receivers, it seems as if Miami will constantly air it out.
On the other side, the Patriots are a sound ball club, coming off a home loss. Belichick will have his ball club focused, and I think they can keep this one close.
In my mind, this game has 24-21 written all over it, and that's enough for me to take a stab at the under.
The Pick: MIA/NE Under 46.5 (-110) BetOnline
Best NFL Prop Bets
Hunter Henry over 3.5 Receptions (+117) Bovada
Henry soared over this line in Week 1, and he has established himself as a huge target for Mac Jones.
Henry caught 5/6 targets for 56 yards and a touchdown last week against the Eagles. Tonight he has an easier matchup against the Dolphins, who do not have the size or speed to matchup with Henry.
He has 16 total catches in his L3 games for 150 yards and a TD.
Four catches seems way too low for this guy who will be looked at often by Jones.
For plus money, this is a no brainer bet for me.
Ezekiel Elliot Over 23.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Elliot has surpassed this yardage in three straight games, plus 9 of his L10.
Yes, he is now the back up in New England, but he still saw 7 attempts for 29 yards last Sunday.
Elliot is a nice 1-2 punch with Rhamondre Stevenson, and I like Belichick to utilize Zeke more throughout the season.
Bringing in Elliot on 3rd and short to disguise a pass would be the perfect time to hand him the ball and let him make a play.
For just 24 yards, I've got faith that Zeke gets enough touches as the Dolphins and Patriots face off today.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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