Sunday Night Football, Packers vs Vikings, Prediction: December 31st, 2023
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Update: Sun Dec 31, 2023, 9:02 am ET
Read Time: 4 minutes
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Sunday Night Football is an absolute classic this week, as the Minnesota Vikings host their rivals, the Green Bay Packers.
Neither team can win the division as the Lions clinched the NFC North last weekend, however this is a game with massive playoff implications. For starters, both squads sit at 7-8 on the year with just two games to play.
Minnesota has the current tiebreaker over Green Bay, however a win would put either team in a better position to sneak into the 7 team playoff.
The Vikings are starting another QB, as they throw out Jaren Hall to lead the offense at home.
Can he get it done? Or will Jordan Love and the Packers get their revenge?
Packers vs Vikings Game Information
Matchup Information
- Venue & Location: U.S. Bank Stadium (Minneapolis, MN)
- Date: Sunday, December 31st, 2023
- Kick Off: 8:20pm Eastern
- Broadcast: NBC
Betting Odds
Odds courtesy of Bovada. Get a Deposit Bonus and Bet These Lines Here!
Spread
- Packers +1 (-110)
- Vikings -1 (-110)
Moneyline
- Packers +100
- Vikings -120
Total
- Over 43 (-115)
- Under 43(-105)
Will Either Team Sneak into the Playoffs?
Despite starting the year 2-5, the Packers have won 5 of their last 8 and put themselves in a position to make the playoffs. But they need to beat the Vikings Sunday Night.
Minnesota is ahead of Green Bay, but they are still just in 8th place in the NFC. Justin Jefferson is back, but TJ Hockenson is out and they are starting a rookie QB.
In my mind, that's tough to comeback from.
Especially considering how the Packers have played recently.
Green Bay scores 22.2 PPG ranking 11th in the NFL. However, that number climbs to 24.4 on the road, and 25 in their last 3 games. Plus they are coming off a 33 point outing.
The Vikings are scoring just 17 over their last 3 contests, and with Hall at QB I don't see that improving.
Defensively, the Vikings have the edge, however they do allow 3 more points at home than on the road. I think the Packers offense could click in this game.
The Pick: Packers ML (+105) BetOnline
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Free NFL Player Props – Packers vs Vikings
Jayden Reed Over 4.5 Receptions (-130) Get These Odds and a Deposit Bonus at Bovada
Reed has only cleared this line in 3 of 14 games this season, but he's done so in 2 straight, 3 of his L6, with 4 catches 5 times on the season, including 4 of his L5 that he hasn't cleared.
The man's volume is clearly there.
In the past two weeks, he has 14 catches on 18 targets, seeing at least 5 targets in his L6 games.
In his last 5 games, he averages 5.2 receptions on 7.4 targets, and he's become a familiar pair of hands for Jordan Love. Last game against Minnesota, he had 4 catches on 6 targets, but that was with Christian Watson.
With Watson listed as doubtful, there are definitely catches to go around, and I think Reed could get his fair share.
I don't mind paying a little juice for this line, as I think we see Reed end with at least 6 catches.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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