Friday Night Lights: NFL Preseason Expert Picks for August 28, 2026
Written by: Varun Sharma
Last Update: Fri Aug 28, 2026, 3:55 pm ET
Read Time: 5 minutes
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The last week of the NFL Preseason is here and I couldn't be more excited. This means real football is less than two weeks away.
We're incredibly close to Week 1, but tonight's Friday night, we've got football on the docket and preseason bets to lock in. I've got three more preseason plays I'm willing to put my money on, so let' s jump right into it and talk football.
As always, these are preseason bets; half unit wagers. We're not here to donate money to the sportsbooks before the season begins. Let's jump into it.
For more information on betting the NFL, check our full NFL Betting Guide.
NFL Preseason Best Bets
Falcons vs. Dolphions u36.5 (-105) | Lucky Rebel
I've never been 'the unders' guy, but the NFL Preseason really brings it out in me. Unders have been good to us so far in the preseason and I just don't see how either of these two offenses buck that trend.
Tua Tagovailoa is back in Miami, playing the team that just cut him and the team still paying him $53 million this season. Tua signed a 1-year deal with the Falcons for $1.2 million and now reports are circulating about him being 'impossible to start'.
As the preseason game has gotten closer, more reports have surfaced that talk about Tua possibly playing for a roster spot tonight. None of these things have been confirmed, but Michael Penix Jr. as the team's Week 1 starter is all but confirmed.
Penix will sit tonight's game as he continues his rehab, while a few starters will get a few reps in tonight with Tua under center.
On the Dolphins side, Head Coach Jeff Hafley has given almost no insight into how many reps his starters will play. Regardless, reports out of camp have been bad and the team's first team offense looks like a third team on paper.
This season could get ugly for the Dolphins.
Saints vs. Cowboys u37.5 (-110) | Lucky Rebel
This one feels like an over, on paper at least. You've got the Dallas Cowboys and this high powered offense. You've got a Kellen Moore coached team in the New Orleans Saints and the game's being playing inside of a dome.
Yet the total sits at just 37?
Both the Saints and Cowboys will be without their starters tonight and with us closing on Week 1, I don't see either offense opening up their playbook.
Cowboys' OC Klayton Adams is in just his second year, but this offense was 7th in points per game and he had 2nd best passing offense in the NFL. The guy who used to be in this spot, is now the Head Coach of the Saints; Kellen Moore.
We know Kellen Moore's an offensive driven mind and that's exactly why here on the road, I don't think he's going to give the Cowboys anything. In a meaningless preseason game, the playbooks on both sides will be limited and I'm assuming run heavy.
These games aren't for flexing your playbook, it's for getting guys ready, one last look at some players and most of all; just getting to Week 1 healthy.
Vikings vs. Broncos u37.5 (-110) | Lucky Rebel
TheDenver Broncos have a top-2 defense in the NFL, that's not up for debate. What I would argue is that this Broncos defense is the DEEPEST defensive unit in the NFL.
Last year this team had 10 players with at least 3 sacks. Nine of those players are returning this year. Broncos' DC Vance Jones is back for another year of terrorizing opposing QBs and tonight they get to do it in the altitude of Denver.
On the other, the Minnesota Vikings are one of the most highly debated teams in the league this year. They've got an elite defense, it's run by an elite (psychotic) DC in Brian Flores and you've got some big time offensive weapons.
The one thing missing in Minnesota is a QB. Some people will tell you that guy is Kyler Murray and it's why he's been named the starter. I don't quite have the same belief, but that doesn't matter; he won't be playing tonight.
The Vikings will have J.J. McCarthy and Carson Wentz under center for their final preseason game and it's why we're betting this under.
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