There's no denying that the Falcons have talent on their team. With rookie RB Bijan Robinson, and young pass catchers in WR Drake London and TE Kyle Pitts, Atlanta is off to a 2-1 start and on top of the NFC South.
After winning against the Panthers and Packers at home, they went on the road to Detroit and lost 20-6, failing to score a TD. Now they travel to London and face a Jaguars team that is very unhappy with a two game skid.
After beating the Colts on the road in Week 1, the Jaguars dropped two straight home games. They lost to the Chiefs 17-9, failing to score a TD, and then got upset by AFC South rivals, the Houston Texans.
The Texans came into Jacksonville and beat down the Jaguars 37-17, leaving the Jaguars on their heels headed to London.
Personally, I think the Jaguars figure it out and get the win against the Falcons.
I like Jacksonville to respond in a get right game against an inferior opponent. While the Falcons have a good win against Green Bay, they were at home. I don't think they compete with the Jaguars in London.
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NFL Player Prop Bets
As I think the Jaguars handle business, I also have some props to go along with that narrative.
Here's how I've done on NFL player prop bets this season.
11-12
+1.76 units
Nothing too crazy, but when a lot of these props are plus money, we can afford to hit around 50%.
Let's see if we can hit a few more this weekend.
Trevor Lawrence over 241.5 Passing Yards (-115) Bovada
This is a pivotal game in the Jaguars season. Against the Falcons, this should be a relatively easy win. Especially with Jacksonville starting 1-2.
They need this one… very badly.
I think this is also a game to instill some confidence in your young QB. Lawrence led this team to a playoff victory last year, so expectations were already high before adding Calvin Ridley.
Lawrence has only cleared this line once this season, last weekend when he had 279. He had 241 exactly against the Colts in Week 1, and just 216 against the Chiefs.
He's thrown the ball 83 time in the past two games, but this Falcons secondary is 4th int he league, holding teams to just 170 passing yards.
However you have to take into account they played Bryce Young, Jordan Love, and Jared Goff.
Trevor Lawrence is in a different tier than these gentlemen, and I think we're reminded of that this Sunday in Wembley.
As always, do your line shopping to get the best number possible.
Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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