NFL Best Bets: Props for Week 11

Varun Sharma

Written by: Varun Sharma

Last Updated:

Read Time: 4 minutes


Week 11 is here and it’s about that time in the season where the playoff picture begins to take shape.

We kicked off Week 11 with a divisional battle between the Ravens and the Bengals on Thursday Night Football. The Ravens came out with the win, fairly unscathed, but unfortunately the Bengals will be without Burrow for the remainder of the year.

We’ve got six more divisional matchups here in Week 11, and some great matchups. Let’s dive into our best bets for Week 11.

A. St. Brown o84.5 Rec Yards (-110) via Bovada

Lions wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown scores a touchdown during the first half of the Lions' 37-30 win over the Packers on Sunday, Jan. 9, 2022, at Ford Field.
Amon-Ra has cleared 100 yards in every single home game this season.

Amon-ra has been nothing short of stellar this season. With guys like Tyreek and AJ Brown going crazy, he’s been flying a bit under the radar.

St. Brown has 100+ yards in six of the eight games he’s taken the field, averaging 10.9 targets per game, and 8.1 receptions per game. Absolutely stellar.

This week the Lions return home from sunny California, after putting up their second most points of the season (41), in a 41-38 win over the Chargers.

This week they’ll take on the Bears, who rank 26th in opponent pass yards, 26th in opponent completion rate, 24th in pass yards per attempt, and last in sacks.

St. Brown’s cleared this line in ever home game this season, averaging 103 receiving yards per game at Ford Field.

Lastly, a little extra incentive with his brother on the opposing sidelines, playing receiver for the Bears.

A. St. Brown o84.5 Rec Yards (-110) via Bovada

J. Connor Anytime Touchdown (+105) via Bovada

James Connor gets around the edge and into the endzone.

James Connor has missed a majority of the season thus far, but finally returned from injury last week.

In his return Connor saw 16 carries for 72 yards, averaging 4.6 yards per carry against a stingy Falcons defense.

This week the Cardinals are travelling to Houston to take on CJ Stroud and the Houston Texans. The over’s set at 48, the highest on the slate.

In Kyler Murray’s first game back, he threw for 249 yards no touchdowns, and the Cardinals won 25-23.

Over the last three weeks, the Texans have been giving up 26 points per game, and currently rank 28th in rushing touchdowns allowed.

Connor hasn’t scored since Week 3 but has 22 touchdowns through his first two seasons with the Cardinals. He’s incredibly due, and with such a high total this week, he’s getting into the endzone.

J. Connor Anytime Touchdown (+105) via Bovada

D. Achane o47.5 Rush Yards (-110) via Bovada

De’Von Achane is averaging an astonishing 12.1 yards per carry through his first four career games.

The Chosen One makes his return, De’Von Achane. He’s played in just four games this season, despite that, he’s scored five touchdowns, and he’s running for 115 yards per game.

Even though we’ve got such a small sample size, we’ve seen Achane’s insane speed in action. He’s averaging a WILD 12.3 yards per carry and has rushed for 150 and 200 yards in his lone two home games.

He’s coming back from injury, so tread lightly, but this Raiders defense has been terrible against the run. They rank 29th in rush yards allowed, 27th in rush attempts allowed, and 22nd in rushing touchdowns allowed.

Believe in the speedster, because if his first few games were any indication, we won’t get this line for very much longer.

D. Achane o47.5 Rush Yards (-110) via Bovada

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Varun Sharma
Varun Sharma

You may know me as ‘VSaaauce’. I’ve been a die hard hoops fan my entire life. I’ve been betting on the NBA/NCAAB/NFL/MLB for six years now, each year gaining more and more knowledge about being a profitable handicapper. I’m eager to learn, and eager to pass on everything I’ve gained over the last few years. I started my Twitter page four years ago, and this community makes me so thankful I did. Outside of sports and handicapping, I enjoy traveling, hoopin, a strong espresso and I’m currently studying to obtain my MD. I’m all about the vibes, good vibes only. If that sounds like you, follow me on 'X' @VSaaauce.

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