Utah vs Saint Mary’s Prediction & Picks: Can the Gaels Grab an Important Win at Home?

Eddie Griffin

Written by: Eddie Griffin

Last Update: Mon Nov 27, 2023, 4:54 pm ET

Read Time: 3 minutes

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Entering this season, Saint Mary's was expected to be one of the better college basketball teams in the country. That may still end up being the case, but with three early losses to their name, the Gaels now enter a very pivotal point of their season, starting with tonight's visit from Utah (11:00 pm ET, ESPNU).

After a stunning home loss to Weber State, the Gaels (3-3) lost to San Diego State and Xavier at the Continental Tire Main Event in Las Vegas.

Saint Mary's is coming off of a 34-point win over Davidson on Friday, but their trio of early losses has bumped them out of early March Madness bracket projections, and they need to limit how many more blemishes come before they start West Coast Conference play against San Diego on January 4.

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Over the next two weeks, the Gaels will face Utah, Boise State, and Colorado State, and they need to go at least 2-1 in those three games, at minimum.

A win tonight over the Utes (3-2) is a must, but it won't come easy. Craig Smith's squad is coming off of losses to Houston and St. John's, but they are a talented group with the potential to make some noise in the Pac-12 this season.

Utah vs Saint Mary's Odds

Odds are courtesy of Bovada.

Spread

  • Utah +4.5 (-105)
  • Saint Mary's -4.5 (-115)

Over/Under

  • Over 135 (-110)
  • Under 135 (-110)

Moneyline

  • Utah +170
  • Saint Mary's -200
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Utah vs Saint Mary's Prediction and Picks

Branden Carlson Utah basketball

Prediction: Utah to win

Picks: Utah +4.5 (-110 at Bovada), Gabe Madsen over 3.5 rebounds (+110 at Bovada) & Branden Carlson over 16.5 (-113 at Bovada)

Even though the Gaels lost to Weber State a couple of weeks ago, they are still very formidable at home and showed that in Friday's win over Davidson.

Saint Mary's shot the lights out against the Wildcats, nailing 15 of 31 (48.4%) from three and making 52.3% of their shots from the field overall. They also put in a strong performance defensively, holding Davidson to 23.5% from three and 36.2% from the field overall.

That said, I actually like Utah in this one. The Utes have the horses to hang with and beat Saint Mary's, led by center Branden Carlson (19.4 PPG, 6.2 RPG) and guards Gabe Madsen (14.2 PPG, 5.4 RPG) and Rollie Worster (10.2 PPG, 5.0 RPG, 6.6 APG, 2.6 SPG).

In addition to backing Utah to cover the spread, I'm on some props for Carlson and Madsen.

Carlson, who will have an intriguing matchup with Gaels center Mitchell Saxen (10.2 PPG, 9.0 RPG, 1.5 BPG), has scored 31, 17, and 22 in his last three games. Madsen, meanwhile, has recorded five or more rebounds in every game thus far.

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Eddie Griffin
Eddie Griffin

Eddie Griffin has been writing about and betting on sports for over a decade and has been with Betting News since 2021. For more of his thoughts on sports and sports betting, you can follow him on X, formerly known as Twitter.

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