Saint Mary’s vs Gonzaga Basketball Prediction, Odds & Picks

Last Update: Sat Feb 25, 2023, 6:30 pm ET

Read Time: 2 minutes

Saint Mary's vs Gonzaga Basketball Prediction, Odds & Picks cover

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Gonzaga has won at least a share of the West Coast Conference regular season title ten seasons in a row. To continue that streak, the #12 Bulldogs will have to defeat #15 Saint Mary's tonight in the conference finale for both teams (10:00 pm ET, ESPN).

Three weeks ago, Saint Mary's (25-5, 14-1 WCC) rallied for a 78-70 home win over Gonzaga, which puts them in position to clinch the title outright tonight in Spokane.

Will the Gaels or Bulldogs pick up the rivalry win tonight? Read on for our Saint Mary's vs Gonzaga basketball prediction, as well as our picks for the showdown in Spokane.

Saint Mary's vs Gonzaga Odds

Odds are via BetOnline as of Saturday, February 25, 2023, at 6:25 pm ET.

Spread

Saint Mary's +5.5 (-105)
Gonzaga -5.5 (-115)

Over/Under

Over 140.5 (-110)
Under 140.5 (-110)

Moneyline

Saint Mary's +198
Gonzaga -245

Strong Home Results Favor Gonzaga

Saint Mary's hasn't won in Spokane since a 74-71 win in 2018, and none of the four consecutive losses they have taken there have been close.

Last Four Games for Saint Mary's in Spokane

2019: lost 94-46
2020: lost 86-76
2021: lost 87-65
2022: lost 74-58

Tonight's matchup may end up being closer, but the outcome is likely to be the same.

The Zags haven't been a dominant force game in, game out, but they are still 5-2 ATS at home in conference play. The one-point loss to Loyola Marymount remains an unsightly blemish, but the only non-cover besides that one is an 88-81 win over BYU.

Given that Gonzaga has been favored by double digits in every home conference game up to this point, that record is no small feat. The last time the Bulldogs covered in five or more home games in regular season conference play was the 2019-20 season, when they were 5-3 ATS.

Saint Mary's vs Gonzaga Prediction and Picks

Gaels vs Bulldogs Prediction: Gonzaga to win

Gaels vs Bulldogs Picks: Gonzaga -5.5 (BetOnline) & Gonzaga team total over 73.5 (Best Value: BetUS)

In the first meeting, Gonzaga was in control for a large portion of regulation, but the Gaels, who trailed 51-43 with under seven minutes left, came back to force overtime then dominated the extra period.

Anything's possible, but if Gonzaga is up eight with under seven minutes to go tonight, we won't see that same outcome play out in Spokane.

This Gonzaga team isn't at the same level as previous teams, but they are still very, very good, and they will show it tonight.