Memphis vs. North Texas: Odds & Predictions | February 12, 2026
Written by: Colby Marchio
Last Update: Thu Feb 12, 2026, 2:20 pm ET
Read Time: 4 minutes
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Offensively, both teams have flaws. Memphis crashes the offensive glass but can be inefficient. North Texas ranks 257th in adjusted offensive efficiency and has struggled to score consistently, even at home. The Mean Green remain strong defensively, but rebounding and foul issues create concern. If Memphis dictates tempo and capitalizes at the free throw line, the Tigers should be in position to complete the season sweep.
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Last 7 Days: 17-5-1 (+10.66 Units)
Last 30 Days: 41-28 (+9.78 Units)
Memphis vs. North Texas Odds
Do the Tigers have it in them to sweep the Mean Green in the regular season?
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Spread
Memphis: -1.0 (-112)
North Texas: +1.0 (-108)
Total
Over: 137.0 (-112)
Under: 137.0 (-108)
Moneyline
Memphis: -118
North Texas: -103
Memphis vs. North Texas Bet
We have a rematch from New Years Eve between these two American Athletic Conference foes. The Memphis Tigers took down the North Texas Mean Green 57 to 48 as a 9.5 point home favorite. Now, a month and a half later, they find themselves as a short road favorite. I like the Tigers in this spot, even with their issues away from home this season. They are coming off a 90 to 80 road win over UAB, while the Mean Green just lost to UAB at home 72 to 68. I think Memphis can go into Denton and take down North Texas once again.
Memphis owns the number one defense in the AAC. They have done an excellent job forcing turnovers, defending the perimeter, and blocking shots. Offensively, they have struggled, but they attack the offensive glass. They are not efficient because they look to get as many shots up as possible. The Tigers are ranked 70th in tempo per Bart Torvik. North Texas will want this game at a more moderate pace, as they are 308th in tempo. If Memphis can push this game faster than it was in December, this will favor the Tigers.
At home this season, North Texas has struggled offensively. They are 257th in adjusted offensive efficiency. They struggle at the free throw line, have difficulty attacking the rim, and are inconsistent from deep. Defensively, they remain top 50 in the nation, but there are red flags. The Mean Green do not rebound well and they send opponents to the line at a high rate.
If the Tigers defense can shut down the Mean Green offense, they should be able to control this game. Memphis needs to generate efficient looks and convert at the line once North Texas gets into foul trouble. Getting the Tigers to win at $1.18 is a strong price. I will wait to see if bettors back the Mean Green in the revenge spot, and hopefully grab Memphis at an even better number.
Heavy Lean: Memphis Moneyline (-118) on Lucky Rebel
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Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd and has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog he loves them all.
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