North Texas vs. Memphis: Game Preview and Analysis

Happy New Year's Eve, everyone! Before the celebrations kick off, college basketball delivers an intriguing American Athletic Conference matchup between North Texas and Memphis. The Mean Green have started strong at 9-4, but they face a Tigers team that has been tested like no other, sitting at 5-7. Both teams are still searching for their first conference win, setting the stage for a high-stakes battle.

Will the Mean Green continue their strong start, or will Memphis's speed and experience at home overwhelm them? Tonight's game promises pace, defense, and a fight for conference bragging rights.

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North Texas vs. Memphis Odds

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Spread

North Texas: +10.5 (-111)

Memphis: -10.0 (-109)

Total

Over: 136.5 (-108)

Under: 136.5 (-112)

Moneyline

North Texas: +420

Memphis: -600

North Texas vs. Memphis Bet

Happy New Year's Eve everyone! I hope you all have a safe evening and party hard. Before the celebrations kick off, there is an exciting American Athletic Conference showdown between North Texas and Memphis. The Mean Green have started the first half of the season strong with a 9-4 record, while the Tigers have been tested a plethora of times, holding a 5-7 record. Both teams are eyeing their first conference win of the season. Who will come out on top?

Mispriced of the Day

This is one of the most mispriced matchups of the day, largely because I do not have much respect for this Mean Green team. This is no longer a North Texas team led by Ross Hodge, who is now the head coach at West Virginia. The Mean Green remain a defensive juggernaut, ranked in the top 50 nationally on that end, but their offense is one of the worst in the country. Which is why I am all over the Tigers at -10 this afternoon.

So far this season, North Texas has faced the 103rd easiest schedule. Memphis, on the other hand, has endured the eighth toughest schedule in college basketball. Haslametrics also ranks North Texas 233rd in home/away court metrics, while Memphis sits at 47th.

Trust the Numbers

In three games against top 100 teams this season, the Mean Green have lost by an average of 14.6 points. Those losses came against Saint Mary's, TCU, and Santa Clara. Bart Torvik has their offense in the bottom 55 in adjusted efficiency, effective field goal percentage, three-point percentage, and two-point percentage. North Texas has also struggled with rebounding on both ends of the floor.

Memphis, meanwhile, has maintained a top 20 defense at home, excelling at guarding both the inside and outside, while ranking in the top 75 in block percentage. Offensively, they have had some struggles, but they have only hosted one team outside the top 200 at home and have been battle-tested all season.

The Tigers also like to run. Bart Torvik ranks Memphis as the 75th fastest team in the country, while North Texas is the 34th slowest. Memphis will force this game into a fast-paced tempo, push the Mean Green out of their comfort zone, and look to score at will.

The Tigers are the only way to go this afternoon. Give me Memphis to cover the spread over North Texas.