NASCAR Xfinity Series Pennzoil 150 Predictions, Odds & Picks
A busy NASCAR weekend in Indiana got underway last night with a dominant win by Ty Majeski in the TSport 200, the opener of the Truck Series Playoffs. Today, the Xfinity Series will be on show in the Pennzoil 150 at the Brickyard (5:30 pm ET, USA).
Last week at the Cabo Wabo 250 at Michigan International Speedway, John Hunter Nemechek picked up his fifth win of the season, strengthening his hopes to claim the Xfinity Series regular season championship.
However, ahead of qualifying at the road course at Indianapolis Motor Speedway, Nemechek isn’t one of the leading favorites. Nor is Austin Hill, who is tied with Nemechek on points atop the standings with five races remaining in the regular season.
Pennzoil 150 at the Brickyard 150 Odds
Odds are via BetUS.
- A.J. Allmendinger +125
- Ty Gibbs +450
- Cole Custer +750
- Justin Allgaier +900
- Sam Mayer +1400
- Austin Hill +1400
- Sheldon Creed +1600
- John Hunter Nemechek +1600
- Ross Chastain +1600
- Parker Kligerman +2000
- Sammy Smith +2000
- Josh Berry +3300
- Connor Mosack +4000
- Kaz Grala +5000
- Miguel Paludo +5000
- Riley Herbst +5000
Pennzoil 150 at the Brickyard Predictions and Picks
While Nemechek did finish second in The Loop 121, the weather-shortened race on the Chicago Street course, his other road results this season haven’t been so great.
He did finish 10th in the Pacific Office Automation 147 in Portland, Oregon, but he was only 16th at Sonoma (the DoorDash 250), 27th at Circuit of the Americas (the Pit Boss 250), and 34th at the Road America 180 in Wisconsin two weeks ago.
Hill’s results on road courses are much better, outside of a 37th-place finish at Circuit of the Americas. He finished fifth at Portland, eighth at Sonoma, fifth on the Chicago street course, and third at Pocono.
That makes him the better betting option of these two title contenders this week, but the spotlight for Pennzoil 150 picks is focused squarely on other drivers.
Current NASCAR Xfinity Series Points Standings (Through 21 Races)
Drivers in bold have won at least one Xfinity Series race this season.
- 1. John Hunter Nemechek – 811 points
- 2. Austin Hill – 811
- 3. Justin Allgaier – 777
- 4. Cole Custer – 705
- 5. Josh Berry – 660
- 6. Sam Mayer – 630
- 7. Chandler Smith – 612
- 8. Daniel Hemric – 601
- 9. Riley Herbst – 574
- 10. Sammy Smith – 558
- 11. Sheldon Creed – 552
- 12. Parker Kligerman – 534
This will be A.J. Allmendinger’s fourth road course start in the Xfinity Series this season, and he owns a win at Circuit of the Americas, a runner-up finish at Sonoma, and a ninth-place finish at Road America. He started on pole at Road America, so finishing only ninth had to be disappointing.
Qualifying results might alter things, but prior to qualifying, there is no real betting value with Allmendinger even though he won last year’s Pennzoil 150 and won the Cup Series race on Indy’s road course in 2021.
Two of the other road course wins this season belong to Cole Custer, who won at Portland and in Chicago.
Custer was penalized 20 points and five playoff points last week after a splitter modification was discovered during pre-race inspection.
Custer is obviously a lock for the playoffs at this point, but losing those five points could hurt, unless he erases the impact by picking up another win between now and the end of the regular season.
Remaining NASCAR Xfinity Series Regular Season Schedule
- Pennzoil 150 at the Brickyard
- Shriners Children’s 200 at the Glen (August 19 at Watkins Glen International in Watkins Glen, New York)
- Wawa 250 (August 25 at Daytona)
- Sport Clips Haircuts VFW 200 (September 2 at Darlington)
- Kansas Lottery 300 (September 9 at Kansas Speedway)
Custer has been hit or miss in road races this season, recording two wins and a sixth-place finish at Sonoma and finishes outside the top 30 at Circuit of the Americas and Road America.
Those positive results and his strong results overall this season–he is tied for fourth in top-five finishes (eighth) and tied for fifth in top-ten finishes (12) –he is a strong pick for a high finish this week. At BetUS, he is +140 to finish in the top five.
Hill isn’t one of the Pennzoil 150 favorites, but he is also a strong pick for a top-five finish given his results on road courses this season, it appears that oddsmakers aren’t giving him the love they should be.
That’s not a bad thing for bettors, as it makes his odds all the more enticing. He is +275 for a top-five finish and -110 for a top-ten finish, and both are worth a play.
A few other drives who have done well in at least a few road races this season are Justin Allgaier, Josh Berry, and Sam Mayer, and they round out the non-winner picks.
Allgaier finished fifth at Circuit of the Americas, second at Portland, seventh at Sonoma, and third in Chicago. Allgaier hasn’t finished in the top five in five straight races but is +175 at BetUS to end that drought.
Berry is still in search of his first Xfinity Series win of the season, but he has nine top-five finishes (tied for fourth in the series) and 13 top-ten finishes (tied for third in the series).
Berry finished eighth at Circuit of the Americas, fourth at Portland, and third at Road America, and he is +175 to finish in the top ten at Indy. As with Hill, it looks like oddsmakers are undervaluing him relative to his results this season on road courses and overall.
The same can be said for Mayer, who scored his seventh top five of the season last week.
In addition to the win that he snatched in the late stages at Road America, Mayer finished seventh at Circuit of the Americas, third at Portland, and tenth at Sonoma. Like Hill, he is -110 for a top-ten finish, which would be his 14th of the season.
Recent Pennzoil 150 at the Brickyard Winners
- 2022: A.J. Allmendinger
- 2021: Austin Cindric
- 2020: Chase Briscoe
So, who is the pick to win the Pennzoil 150? Yesterday’s Truck Series winner pick cashed thanks to Ty Majeski’s near-perfect performance and making it two in two would be the ideal way to go into Sunday’s Cup Series clash.
Allmendinger is a big favorite, and there’s a good chance he will be the favorite even if he doesn’t start on or near the front row.
But in terms of combining value and likelihood to win, Custer is by far the best option. He has two road wins this season, and even though he has secured a playoff spot, he has added reason to put forth his best efforts thanks to the Michigan penalties.
It’s not Christmas or even Christmas in July, but how about a bonus pick since the spirit of generosity is strong?
Entering this week, Riley Herbst is ninth in the points standings. Like Berry, he hasn’t won this season, but unlike Berry, who would need some absolutely rotten misfortune over the next five races to miss out, Herbst is not a near-lock for the playoffs.
But he should take a big step towards improving those odds this evening. He has finished in the top ten at the Pennzoil 150 each of the last two years, and he is on a good run recently, finishing fourth at Pocono, fifth at Road America, and sixth at Michigan. Odds of +260 for a top-five finish are too good to ignore.
Where to Bet on NASCAR
Along with being able to bet on the winner of each Cup Series, Xfinity Series, and/or Truck Series race, sportsbooks like Bovada and BetUS offer finishing position odds (top 3, top 5, and/or top 10).
Also, odds on who will finish at the top of the championship standings are available at many reputable sportsbooks.
In addition to Bovada and BetUS, here are some of the sites that we recommend if you are interested in NASCAR betting:
Eddie Griffin has been writing about and betting on sports for over a decade and has been with Betting News since 2021. For more of his thoughts on sports and sports betting, you can follow him on X, formerly known as Twitter.
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