San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds Preview (June 30): Padres Look to Add to 10-1 Run Tonight in Cincinnati

Matt Wiesenfeld

Yesterday’s Padres vs Reds game was delayed, but they eventually got it started and San Diego won, 5-4, evening their road record at .500 for the season. If the Padres are going to catch the Dodgers and/or the Giants in the NL West, that is an area they are going to have to improve on over the course of the season. Their road record is why MLB betting odds have them well behind the Dodgers to win the NL West.

OF Tommy Pham was the offensive star last night. He is batting leadoff now, and that gives SS Fernando Tatis Jr. a chance to be even more of a run producer. I think one of the reasons the Padres have struggled on the road is that the lineup has been underperforming. If Pham and guys like 3B Manny Machado get back to career norms, this team can soar.

Cincinnati is at .500, a mark it seems they are not sure if they want to go above or below. Right now that is good enough for them to be behind the Brewers and Cubs in the NL Central, but the Cubs are sinking. The offense is leading this team and will need to continue to do so with two rookie hurlers in the rotation.

With the way they hit and play their home games in a hitter-friendly ballpark, you would think the Reds would be a really good team at home. That has not been the case this season, as they are just 20-20 at Great American Ballpark. Similar to the Padres on the road, that is something they have to improve if they are going to make a push for the playoffs.

San Diego Padres (48-33) vs Cincinnati Reds (39-39), Ball Sports Ohio, 7:10 PM ET

Probable Pitchers

  • San Diego Padres: Joe Musgrove (4-6, 2.22 ERA)
  • Cincinnati Reds: Vladimir Gutierrez (3-2, 3.97 ERA)

Padres vs Reds Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Padres -165, Reds +185
  • Total: OVER 10 (-110), UNDER 10 (-110)
  • Run Line: Padres -1.5 (-113), Reds +1.5 (-107)

Odds are via FanDuel Sportsbook as of Wednesday, June 30 at 11:32 am ET. For MLB betting odds for today’s other matchups, check out our MLB odds.

Padres vs Reds Betting Consensus

  • Moneyline: Padres 60%, Reds 40%
  • Total: Over 40%, Under 60%
  • Run Line: Padres 20%, Reds 80%

San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds June 30 Matchup: Picks, Odds, Stats and More

It Is Hard Not To Like San Diego

Tatis Jr. is the most exciting player in the National League if not the game. Were it not for Jacob deGrom, Tatis would be the MLB betting favorite for NL MVP. But as great as he is, he needs help if the Padres are going to reach their lofty expectations. After a stellar 9-1 homestand they won on the road last night and have a nice stretch of schedule between now and the All-Star break. They swept the Reds at home last week, outscoring them 24-13.

Yesterday was a bullpen day, so the Padres will be looking to really lean on Joe Musgrove in the game tonight. If you look past his 4-6 record you will see that he has been as good as any San Diego starter this season. Even with his no-hitter in April, he still flies below the radar. He is in good form too, allowing only two earned runs over his last two starts. Last week, he tossed seven shutout innings against the Reds.

Reds Have the Bats But Need More

For a while Reds outfielders Nick Castellano and Jesse Winker were 1-2 in the Majors in batting average? They are still among the leaders, ranking second and seventh, and key to the success of the Reds, who are 5th in scoring but just 23rd in team ERA. Starter Sonny Gray is hurt, and Luis Castillo has struggled much of the season. The lineup has been the constant even though 1B Joey Votto has been poor and SS Eugenio Suarez is hitting under .200.

Injuries have pushed a couple of rookies into the rotation in Tony Santillan and Vlad Gutierrez. They have been about even in performance with Santillan taking the loss last night. Gutierrez did start at San Diego in the last series and was hit harder than he had been in his short career, giving up 5 ER over 5 innings.

Joe Musgrove Home vs Away

  • Home: 3-3, 2.25 ERA, 48 IP, 60 Ks, 13 BBs
  • Away: 1-3, 2.19 ERA, 37 IP, 43 Ks, 6 BBs

Vladimir Gutierrez Home vs Away

  • Home: 1-1, 3.46 ERA, 13 IP, 11 Ks, 5 BBs
  • Away: 2-1, 4.29 ERA, 21 IP, 16 Ks, 11 BBs

Musgrove is very familiar with the Reds having pitched in the NL Central with Pittsburgh. The only reason to be nervous about him in this spot is that in a couple of starts at Great American he has allowed some homers. That is the way the park plays, however. He can still be expected to outpitch Gutierrez though.

Padres vs. Reds Best Bet: Padres Run Line – If the Padres had never seen Gutierrez before I might have looked to see if the rookie could stymie “Slam Diego”. They were all over him though, and his home splits are nothing crazy. I am a little nervous that the Padres bullpen could be a little depleted, but Musgrove is an arm you can push. He just threw over 100 pitches in his last start against the Dodgers. The run line is the play with the Padres heavy MLB betting favorites for this matchup.

June 30 MLB Betting Matchups – National League

MLB Betting Matchup: Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals, Bally Sports Midwest, 1:15 PM ET

Probable Pitchers

  • Arizona Diamondbacks: Riley Smith (1-3, 5.71, ERA)
  • St. Louis Cardinals: Kwang Hyun Kim (1-5, 3.98 ERA)

Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals June 30 Matchup: Picks, Odds, Stats and More

MLB Betting Matchup: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers, Bally Sports Wisconsin, 2:10 PM ET

Probable Pitchers

  • Chicago Cubs: Jake Arrieta (5-8, 5.32 ERA)
  • Milwaukee Brewers: Aaron Ashby (0-0, 0.00 ERA)

Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers June 30 Matchup: Picks, Odds, Stats and More

MLB Betting Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Colorado Rockies, ATT Sportsnet Rocky Mountain, 3:10 PM ET

Probable Pitchers

  • Pittsburgh Pirates: Chad Kuhl (2-4, 5.05 ERA)
  • Colorado Rockies: Jon Gray (4-6, 3.97 ERA)

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Colorado Rockies June 30 Matchup: Picks, Odds, Stats and More

Tampa Bay Rays vs Washington Nationals, MASN 2, 47:05 PM ET

Probable Pitchers

  • Tampa Bay Rays: Drew Rasmussen (0-1, 3.38 ERA)
  • Washington Nationals: Jon Lester (1-3, 4.99 ERA)

Tampa Bay Rays vs Washington Nationals June 30 Matchup: Picks, Odds, Stats and More

MLB Betting Matchup: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies, NBC Sports Philadelphia, 7:05 PM

Probable Pitchers

  • Miami Marlins: Jordan Holloway (1-2, 2.55 ERA)
  • Philadelphia Phillies: Aaron Nola (5-4, 3.97 ERA)

Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies June 30 Matchup: Picks, Odds, Stats and More

MLB Betting Matchup: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves, MLB Network, 7:20 PM ET

Probable Pitchers

  • New York Mets: David Petersen (2-5, 4.95 ERA)
  • Atlanta Braves: Max Fried (4-4, 4.21 ERA)

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves June 30 Matchup: Picks, Odds, Stats and More

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