Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Picks and Predictions: May 14, 2026
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Update: Thu May 14, 2026, 1:59 pm ET
Read Time: 5 minutes
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Tonight concludes the only series between the Philadelphia Phillies and Boston Red Sox this season unless both were to meet in the World Series. It isn't very likely, as Philly is currently third in the NL East, 10 games behind the Atlanta Braves who are running away with the division. On the other side, the Red Sox are at the bottom of the AL East, ironically, 10 games behind the Tampa Bay Rays. Both sub .500 teams are looking to improve their record and win this series tonight, so let's get into our favorite MLB picks in this matchup.
Check out the best odds on the market at our top online sportsbooks.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Insights
Bryce Harper and the Phillies face their former teammate today on the road
This game is for all the marbles. The Phillies successfully beat the Red Sox in the first game on Tuesday, winning 2-1. But last night, Boston got their revenge, winning 3-1 in their own ballpark. Now the two settle the score in game three tonight. Prior to last night's loss, Philadelphia had actually strung together three consecutive wins, but they are just 8-11 on the road this year.
The Red Sox don't have much to cheer about, going just 8-13 at Fenway Park so far this season. In fact, Boston has only won three straight games twice this season, but they have been in the middle of some major losing streaks. Can they find a way to get the victory tonight?
Two southpaws take the mound for their teams, so let's look at the betting odds and get into our picks!
Matchup Information – Phillies vs. Red Sox – May 14
- Venue & Location: Fenway Park (Boston, MA)
- Date: Thursday, May 14, 2026
- First Pitch: 6:45 p.m. Eastern
- Broadcast: MLB.tv
Phillies vs. Red Sox Pitching Matchup
- Philadelphia Phillies: LHP Jesus Luzardo (3-3, 5.77 ERA, 1.40 WHIP)
- Boston Red Sox: LHP Ranger Suarez (2-2, 2.77 ERA, 0.95 WHIP)
Phillies vs. Red Sox Betting Odds
Odds are courtesy of our friends at Lucky Rebel Sportsbook, as of May 14, 2026, at 1:32 p.m. eastern. Sign up today and get a $1,250 deposit bonus as well as 50 slot spins immediately in your account and start betting at the sportsbook with the most competitive odds in the industry, and a wide variety of unique markets not offered anywhere else.
Run Line
- Phillies +1.5 (-235)
- Red Sox -1.5 (+195)
Moneyline
- Phillies -106
- Red Sox -114
Total
- Over 7 (-120)
- Under 7 (+100)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Picks
Can Ranger Suarez help his team win by having a quality start at home?
Phillies vs. Red Sox Prediction: Red Sox Win, Phillies Cover, Under 7
Best Bet: Red Sox F5 ML (-104) Lucky Rebel Sportsbook
The Red Sox hit left handed pitchers MUCH better than the Phillies. Philadelphia hits .232 as a team, just .205 on the road, and .215 against LHP. For Boston, their .236 average drops to .223 at home, but they explode against lefties, hitting .271 as a team. That sticks out to me, and I'll be leaning into it.
Jesus Luzardo has also had a rough year. I'll admit his away splits improve significantly on the road this year, but he's faced the Marlins, Cubs and Rockies away from home, two of which are near the bottom of their division. Luzardo is coming off allowing five earned runs in just three innings to the Rockies at the Bank, allowing six hits and three walks, including a home run. He's now allowed home runs in each of his last two starts, giving up 14 hits and eight runs in just 9.1 innings. Not great.
Although the Boston bats haven't been all that productive, it's tough to deny their ability to hit left handed pitchers. I think we see a low scoring game anyways, but I'll be backing Ranger Suarez to have a better few innings than Luzardo early on in this game, resulting in the Red Sox winning the first five innings.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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