Arizona Diamondbacks vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks and Props June 28th, 2026
Written by: TonesTakes
Published: Sun Jun 28, 2026, 8:40 am ET
Read Time: 4 minutes
mlb
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+1.5
-128
8
-105u
+177
Spread
Total
Moneyline
-1.5
120
7.5
-103o
-185
We went 2-1 in yesterday's game for a profit of 1.35 Units. YTD article plays sit at 7-2 +6.27 Units. Today we'll look at my Arizona Diamondbacks vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks and Analysis
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks and Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays look to complete the sweep as they meet the Arizona Diamondbacks in their series finale, today at Tropicana Field. Tampa took Game 1 of the series bay a 6-1 score and continued their momentum with a 4-2 win yesterday afternoon. Junior Caminero homered for the third conesecutive game and Jonathan Aranda added a 2 run bomb to secure the win for the home team.
Can the Rays continue the run production today? Let's take a look.
Diamondbacks vs Rays Pitching Matchup
- Arizona Diamondbacks (41-41) RHP Merrill Kelly (5-7, 5.71 ERA/1.49 WHIP)
- Tampa Bay Rays (47-33) RHP Drew Rasmussen (6-4, 2.62 ERA/0.88 WHIP)
Diamondbacks vs Rays Betting Odds
Odds courtesy of our friends at Lucky Rebel
Moneyline
- Arizona Diamondbacks +158
- Tampa Bay Rays -193
Total
- Over 7.5 (-114)
- Under 7.5 (-105)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Tampa Bay Rays Game Predictions and Best Bets
Game Pick: Tampa Bay Rays Team Total Over 4.5 +104
The Tampa Bay Rays absolutely love hitting at Tropicana Field. Tampa has scored 206 runs at home, which is 8th best in Major League Baseball. That is a far contrast to their road mark which is 144, 4th worst. Vs Right Handed Pitching at home, Tampa averages 5.4 runs per 9 innings. They are hitting .276 vs righties at home, which is the best mark in the majors. They also have the highest OPS at .807 and the 2nd best wRC+ at 123. The face a juicy matchup today in Merrill Kelly. The Arizona right hander has had a very rough season thus far. On t he road this season, Kelly sports a record of 3-4 with a 4.31 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP. Hitters are Barreling up on Kelly as his Barrel percentage is 14.4, which is in the top percentile among MLB pitchers.
Behind him is a Bullpen that is very mid. Arizona owns a bullpen ERA of 4.27, which is middle of the pack. The Rays have scored at least 5 runs in 4 of their last 5 home games and I think that will continue today, in the series finale.
Player Prop: Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Hits+Runs+RBI +110 Lucky Rebel
Junior Caminero is having a fine season thus far for the Rays. He leads the team with 21 Home Runs and absolutely loves hitting at home. In 42 games at Tropoicana Field, Junior is hitting .325 with 14 Home Runs and 33 Runs Batted In. He also sports a Slugging Percentage of .649, and an OPS of 1.076. He's hit this mark in 4 of his last 5 home games, totaling 28 hits, runs and RBI. Let's dive into the pitch mix he will see tonight:
- 4 Seam FB – ISO of .355/Hard Hit Rate of 71.7
- Changeup – ISO of .34/hard Hit Rate of 33.3
- Cutter – ISO of .222/hard Hit Rate of 47
- Slider – ISO of .151/Hard Hit Rate of 45.5
- Curveball – ISO of .346/hard Hit Rate of 42.9
- Sinker – ISO of .222/hard Hit Rate of 49.1
As you can see. Junior crushes 4 of the 6 pithces he will see from Kelly this afternoon. I like him to continue his hot hitting in this spot today.
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