Arizona Diamonbacks vs Washington Nationals Picks and Props July 26, 2026

TonesTakes

Written by: TonesTakes

Published: Sun Jul 26, 2026, 10:19 am ET

Read Time: 4 minutes

Corbin Carroll and the Diamondbacks have won six of their last eight games overall. Will they keep it up back at Chase Field? MLB Picks

mlb

Arizona Diamondbacks logo
Today1:35 pm ET
Washington Nationals logo

Arizona Diamondbacks
Odds

Spread

Total

Moneyline

-1.5

138

10

-110u

-110

Washington Nationals
Odds

Spread

Total

Moneyline

+1.5

-150

10

-105o

+100

See Picks & Statistics For The Game

Back after going 2-1 last night for a profit of +1.33 Units. YTD sits at 17-12 +7.03 Units. Today we'll look at my Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals Picks and Analysis

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals Picks and Preview

Sunday afternoon will feature the final game of this 3 game set, with each team earning a win thus far. The series has been surprisingly low scoring as Friday night saw a 3-2 Arizona win, followed by a 5-3 Nationals win yesterday. CJ Abrams led the charge, in Game 2, for the Nats as he went 3-4 with a Home Run and 3 Runs Batted In. Both of these teams are in the thick of the National League Wild Card Race as Arizona holds the final spot with Washington only 2 games behind. Will we finally see some offense today? Let's dive in…

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

  • Arizona Diamondbacks (55-50) LHP Kohl Drake (0-0, 1.80 ERA/1.20 WHIP)
  • Washington Nationals ((53-52) RHP Miles Mikolas (3-7, 5.60 ERA/1.34 WHIP)

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals Betting Odds

Odds courtesy of our friends at Lucky Rebel

Moneyline

  • Arizona -111
  • Washington +105

Total

  • Over 10 (-113)
  • Under 10 (-102)
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Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals Predictions and Best Bets

Game Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals Over 10 -113 Lucky Rebel

We have 2 very capable offenses here that have both been very quiet during this series. I am expecting that to change in the series finale today. Rookie left hander Kohl Drake toes the rubber for the Diamondbacks, who is making his 2 career Major League start. Earlier in the week, Drake went 5 innings against the Athletics giving up 1 run on 4 hits. He faces a much more potent offense today in the Nationals. At home against Left Handers, the Nats average 5.2 Runs/9. They are hitting .260 (7th), have an OPS of .770 (7th) and a wRC+ of 112 (7th).

Washington will counter with gas can Miles Mikolas. In 10 home appearance, Miles has a 5.92 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP. Despite the Diamondbacks not being particularly good against Right Handers on the road, when Mikolas starts, all bets are off. Hitting conditions look great today as it will be 88 degrees with the wind blowing out slightly. Both of these offense should put on a show in this contest.

Player Prop: Corbin Carroll Over 2.5 Hits + Runs+ RBIs +115 Lucky Rebel

Carroll has had a quiet season this far as he is only hitting .250 with 15 Home Runs and 49 Run batted in. Despite that he matches up well with Mikolas. Carroll has a barrel rate of 12.4, which is in the 81s percentile among major league hitters. Let's look at his numbers against the pitch mix he will see today:

  • 4 Seam Fastball (.267 ISO/48.6 Hard Hit%)
  • Sinker (.151 ISO/46.5 Hard Hit%)
  • Slider (.346 ISO/57.9 Hard Hit%)
  • Curveball (.206 ISO/50.0 Hard Hit%)

Carroll has hits in 6 of his last 8 games and he should continue to get on base today.

Player Prop: CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Total Bases +125 Lucky Rebel

Abrams is having and outstanding season thus far. The Washington Shortstop is hitting .293 with 25 Home Runs and 79 Runs Batted In. He is red hot at the plate right now and he has cleared 2 bases in 6 straight games, totaling 32 bases. Abrams also has a barrel rate of 11.0, which is in the 71st percentile among major league hitters. Let's look at his numbers against the pitch mix he will see today:

  • 4 Seam Fastball (.240 ISO/ 37.2 Hard Hit%)
  • Curveball (.190 ISO/32.1 Hard HIt%)
  • Changeup (.300 ISO/47.2 Hard Hit%)
  • Cutter (.668 ISO/40.7 Hard Hit%)

Despite the Left on Left matchup, I like Abrams to continue to rake this afternoon.

 

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TonesTakes
TonesTakes

Tone is a NHL and MLB expert who regularly posts profitable seasons. A Philadelphia native, Tone enjoys watching his tickets cash while smoking cigars next to his fire pit. Feared by the sportsbooks, Tone is the ultimate bettors buddy.

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